WEEK 11 · FINAL
THE READ
Colts win the turnover battle and the game
Buccaneers could not stop handing it over, and Colts made it count — 17-9. Baker Mayfield was steady for Buccaneers — 32/48, 320 yards, 1 INT — in a losing effort. Deion Burks moved the ball for Colts — 2 catches, 76 yards, 1 TD. A season best for Ahmad Hardy. Total yards: Buccaneers 425, Colts 233.
The Wire · league beat
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -13.4 | -2.5 | -10.9 | -8 |
| Colts | +11.0 | -1.9 | +12.9 | +15 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
Colts —
AFC #5
· 11-3
Playoff picture →
In the MVP race
#6
LaNorris Sellers
QB · Colts · 0.6% of the field
#12
Duce Robinson
WR · Colts · 0.4% of the field
The whole board →
IN THE BOOTH
Jeff Epstein
The showman
Tampa Bay's offense couldn't generate enough to overcome the self-inflicted damage, while Indianapolis' defense—featuring Ahmad Hardy's best performance yet—turned the Buccaneers into a turnover factory; 26 combined points tells you everything about how suffocating this was.
Luca Santana
Analyst
· replying
Baker Mayfield completed 32 of 48 passes for 320 yards and moved the ball at will, yet Tampa Bay couldn't capitalize—the real story is that Indianapolis, sitting at 9-1 with a plus-12 turnover margin on the season, has built something structurally sound enough to win ugly when it matters.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Baker Mayfield
Buccaneers
32/48, 320 yards, 1 INT
Deion Burks
Colts
2 catches, 76 yards, 1 TD
Ted Hurst III
Buccaneers
9 catches, 95 yards
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Buccaneers 425, Colts 233
Buccaneers
Through the air
Buccaneers 320, Colts 156
Buccaneers
On the ground
Buccaneers 105, Colts 77
Buccaneers
Pressure
Colts 4 sacks, Buccaneers 0
Colts
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 62% · Rush 38% · 19.1 scored, 29.9 allowed
7.0 yds/att
59.9% completions
3.9 yds/carry
365.1 yds/game
2.2 giveaways/game
5.4% sack rate
last 5: 0-5
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 46 · Conservative
Balance 88
Ball security 38
Back usage 33%
QB runs 2.9/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 2.2 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 84
WR 88
TE 80
RB 90
OL 86
DL 89
LB 83
DB 88
Best: Tristan Wirfs LT 97
Fastest: Ahmad Hardy HB 94 SPD
9 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 67% · Rush 33% · 29.4 scored, 16.6 allowed
9.3 yds/att
54.3% completions
4.5 yds/carry
307.6 yds/game
1.4 giveaways/game
5.3% sack rate
last 5: 3-2
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 61 · Aggressive
Balance 83
Ball security 62
Back usage 21%
QB runs 4.6/game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 93
WR 92
TE 91
RB 84
OL 89
DL 90
LB 85
DB 94
Best: Deion Burks WR 99
Fastest: Deion Burks WR 96 SPD
12 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
REECE PEICES
Colts · his last 8 games
Throws it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run66% / 34%
Points for / against21.8 — 12.5
Margin+9.2
Giveaways a game1.2
Sacks taken7.3% of dropbacks
Lead backNate Frazier · 7.4/g
Top targetTyler Warren · 29%
QB carries4.5 a game
Ace.P
Buccaneers · his last 8 games
Throws it
Pass / run63% / 37%
Points for / against19.6 — 29.6
Margin-10.0
Giveaways a game1.9
Sacks taken5.5% of dropbacks
Lead backBucky Irving · 14.0/g
Top targetTed Hurst III · 35%
QB carries2.0 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
Ace.P against REECE PEICES — the men, not the teams
REECE PEICES leads it 1-0.
REECE PEICES won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 9.0 — 17.0
biggest: 8 pts to REECE PEICES
S2 · week 11
Ace.P 9 — 17 REECE PEICES
REECE PEICES
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Buccaneers receivers vs Colts secondary
88 v 94
COLTS
Colts receivers vs Buccaneers secondary
92 v 88
COLTS
Buccaneers line vs Colts front
86 v 90
COLTS
Colts line vs Buccaneers front
89 v 89
EVEN
Buccaneers backs vs Colts run defence
90 v 89
EVEN
Colts backs vs Buccaneers run defence
84 v 88
BUCCANEERS
Buccaneers passer vs Colts secondary
84 v 94
COLTS
Colts passer vs Buccaneers secondary
93 v 88
COLTS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
BUCCANEERS
COLTS
BUCCANEERS
COLTS
BUCCANEERS
COLTS
BUCCANEERS
COLTS
BUCCANEERS
COLTS
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield QB | 32/48 | 320 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 76.7 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaNorris Sellers QB | 15/24 | 156 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 109 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Hardy HB | 9 | 52 | 5.8 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| Bucky Irving HB | 11 | 32 | 2.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Baker Mayfield QB | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Jake Rendina FB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kenny Gainwell HB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Emeka Egbuka WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Hurst III WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Frazier HB | 12 | 56 | 4.7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| DJ Giddens HB | 6 | 13 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Deion Burks WR | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Tyler Warren TE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Hurst III WR | 9 | 95 | 10.6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 22 |
| Cade Otton TE | 5 | 81 | 16.2 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
| Emeka Egbuka WR | 6 | 76 | 12.7 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 23 |
| Bucky Irving HB | 4 | 29 | 7.2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 13 |
| Chris Godwin Jr WR | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Ahmad Hardy HB | 1 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| Garrett Oakley TE | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jake Rendina FB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenny Gainwell HB | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion Burks WR | 2 | 76 | 38 | 1 | 69 | 0 | 70 |
| Duce Robinson WR | 3 | 38 | 12.7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 22 |
| Tyler Warren TE | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| Jayden Reed WR | 2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Hayden Hansen TE | 2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| DJ Giddens HB | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Nate Frazier HB | 2 | -4 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Trotter MIKE | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Vita Vea DT | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tykee Smith SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Demonte Capehart DT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Parrish CB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Yaya Diaby REDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Keionte Scott CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Anzalone WILL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calijah Kancey DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zyon McCollum CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Morrison CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr FS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Allen MIKE | 9 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Sauce Gardner CB | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| A.J. Haulcy SS | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Lewis Cine FS | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jamari Sharpe CB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Jaylon Johnson CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dominique Hampton WILL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Uar Bernard DT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| JT Tuimoloau DT | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Laiatu Latu LEDG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Carlies WILL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Adetomiwa Adebawore REDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Camryn Bynum FS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Charvarius Ward Sr CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arden Key REDG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caden Curry LEDG | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlin K | 3/4 | 0/0 | 53 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Shrader K | 1/1 | 2/2 | 42 |
RECENT FORM
Buccaneers
L
19–23 vs Falcons
WK 10
L
17–23 vs Panthers
WK 9
L
13–48 vs Saints
WK 8
Colts
W
24–16 vs Texans
WK 10
W
35–7 vs Jaguars
WK 9
W
20–17 vs Falcons
WK 8
TEAM STATS
| Buccaneers | Colts | |
|---|---|---|
| 425 | TOTAL YARDS | 233 |
| 320 | PASSING YARDS | 156 |
| 105 | RUSHING YARDS | 77 |
| 4 | SACKS ALLOWED | 0 |
| 0 | SACKS MADE | 4 |
| 2 | GIVEAWAYS | 0 |
| 0 | TAKEAWAYS | 2 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
BUCCANEERS
—
1
COLTS