WEEK 15 · FINAL
THE READ
Ava Collins
Beat reporter
Colts win the turnover battle and the game
The Colts shut out Buffalo 14-0 in Week 15, turning 4 Bills turnovers into the only points that mattered. LaNorris Sellers completed 12 of 23 passes for 214 yards and 2 touchdowns while throwing 1 interception, and Tyler Warren caught 3 passes for 65 yards and a score. Indianapolis dominated through the air 214 to 58 and controlled total yards 214 to 60, while Buffalo managed just 2 rushing yards and couldn't protect Josh Allen, who threw 4 interceptions. The Colts improved to 11-3 and proved that in a game decided by giveaways, you take what the other team gives you.
Ava Collins
Beat reporter
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | +11.0 | -1.9 | +12.9 | +15 |
| Bills | +1.5 | -2.1 | +3.6 | +11 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
In the MVP race
#6
LaNorris Sellers
QB · Colts · 0.6% of the field
#12
Duce Robinson
WR · Colts · 0.4% of the field
The whole board →
IN THE BOOTH
Elise Carter
The insider
Buffalo gave it away 4 times and Indianapolis took every one of them—you don't need Allen's 4 interceptions or the 2 rushing yards to know this game was decided the moment the Bills stopped protecting the football.
Caleb Brooks
Beat reporter
· replying
LaNorris Sellers completed 12 of 23 for 214 yards and 2 touchdowns against a defense that had been giving up 201 a game through the air—he didn't need to be perfect when Buffalo was handing the ball back every time he turned around, but he was efficient enough to make it stick.
Marcus Reyes
The numbers guy
· replying
Buffalo's run game didn't just disappear—it evaporated, and that's not on the defense. Allen's 4 interceptions mattered less than the fact that he had to throw 18 times with nothing behind it, which means this wasn't a turnover problem, it was a design problem that the turnovers exposed.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
LaNorris Sellers
Colts
12/23, 214 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Tyler Warren
Colts
3 catches, 65 yards, 1 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Through the air
Colts 214, Bills 58
Colts
Total yards
Colts 214, Bills 60
Colts
Giveaways
Bills 4, Colts 1
Colts
On the ground
Bills 2, Colts 0
Bills
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 67% · Rush 33% · 29.4 scored, 16.6 allowed
9.3 yds/att
54.3% completions
4.5 yds/carry
307.6 yds/game
1.4 giveaways/game
5.3% sack rate
last 5: 3-2
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 61 · Aggressive
Balance 83
Ball security 62
Back usage 21%
QB runs 4.6/game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 93
WR 92
TE 91
RB 84
OL 89
DL 90
LB 85
DB 94
Best: Deion Burks WR 99
Fastest: Deion Burks WR 96 SPD
12 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 54% · Rush 46% · 23.7 scored, 20.1 allowed
6.7 yds/att
60.5% completions
4.8 yds/carry
326.1 yds/game
1.1 giveaways/game
8.0% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 48 · Conservative
Balance 96
Ball security 68
Back usage 36%
QB runs 5.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.0% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 86
TE 86
RB 91
OL 80
DL 86
LB 80
DB 88
Best: Josh Allen QB 99
Fastest: James Cook III HB 93 SPD
4 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Ant
Bills · his last 8 games
Runs it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run55% / 45%
Points for / against20.1 — 20.9
Margin-0.8
Giveaways a game1.5
Sacks taken7.8% of dropbacks
Lead backJames Cook III · 13.2/g
Top targetDJ Moore · 26%
QB carries5.1 a game
REECE PEICES
Colts · his last 8 games
Throws it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run66% / 34%
Points for / against21.8 — 12.5
Margin+9.2
Giveaways a game1.2
Sacks taken7.3% of dropbacks
Lead backNate Frazier · 7.4/g
Top targetTyler Warren · 29%
QB carries4.5 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
REECE PEICES against Ant — the men, not the teams
REECE PEICES leads it 1-0.
REECE PEICES won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 14.0 — 0.0
biggest: 14 pts to REECE PEICES
S2 · week 15
REECE PEICES 14 — 0 Ant
REECE PEICES
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Colts receivers vs Bills secondary
92 v 88
COLTS
Bills receivers vs Colts secondary
86 v 94
COLTS
Colts line vs Bills front
89 v 86
COLTS
Bills line vs Colts front
80 v 90
COLTS
Colts backs vs Bills run defence
84 v 84
EVEN
Bills backs vs Colts run defence
91 v 89
EVEN
Colts passer vs Bills secondary
93 v 88
COLTS
Bills passer vs Colts secondary
99 v 94
BILLS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
COLTS
BILLS
COLTS
BILLS
COLTS
BILLS
COLTS
BILLS
COLTS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaNorris Sellers QB | 12/23 | 214 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 64 | 95.1 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | 7/18 | 58 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 8.3 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaNorris Sellers QB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook III HB | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Warren TE | 3 | 65 | 21.7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Duce Robinson WR | 1 | 64 | 64 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 64 |
| Deion Burks WR | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| Nate Frazier HB | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| Jayden Reed WR | 1 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 2 | 30 | 15 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
| James Cook III HB | 5 | 28 | 5.6 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| DJ Moore WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
COLTS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cine FS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CJ Allen MIKE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Carlies WILL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charvarius Ward Sr CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Laiatu Latu LEDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Camryn Bynum FS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| JT Tuimoloau DT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Johnson CB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adetomiwa Adebawore REDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sauce Gardner CB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Haulcy SS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bishop FS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Parker REDG | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Gardner-Johnson SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrel Bernard MIKE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Rousseau LEDG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davison Igbinosun CB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlon Humphrey CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Benford CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Stone FS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Smith DT | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RECENT FORM
Colts
L
17–24 vs Titans
WK 14
W
28–7 vs Texans
WK 13
L
19–20 vs Ravens
WK 12
Bills
W
20–16 vs Eagles
WK 14
W
24–12 vs Dolphins
WK 13
W
28–24 vs Broncos
WK 12
TEAM STATS
| Colts | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| 214 | TOTAL YARDS | 60 |
| 214 | PASSING YARDS | 58 |
| 0 | RUSHING YARDS | 2 |
| 2 | SACKS ALLOWED | 1 |
| 1 | SACKS MADE | 2 |
| 1 | GIVEAWAYS | 4 |
| 4 | TAKEAWAYS | 1 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
COLTS
—
0
BILLS