WEEK 5 · FINAL
THE READ
Sierra Vaughn
Analyst
Bears beat Packers, 25-12
Chicago's 25-12 win over Green Bay in week 5 shows a team executing at both ends—Caleb Williams went 28 of 36 for 266 yards and 2 touchdowns while the Bears ran for 104 yards and controlled the line of scrimmage with 5 sacks to Green Bay's 3. The Packers' ground game managed just 38 yards on 14 attempts, forcing Jordan Love into a 16-of-36 afternoon that included an interception. Chicago's expected win rate based on point margin is 57.8 percent—they're beating teams they should beat—while Green Bay at 45.2 percent is winning fewer games than their point totals suggest they ought to, a gap that widens when you account for the fact that Chicago faced a weaker schedule and still outperformed it by 4.8 points per game.
Sierra Vaughn
Analyst
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | +1.1 | +2.1 | -1.1 | -7 |
| Packers | +8.6 | +2.0 | +6.5 | +18 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
In the MVP race
#8
Zavion Thomas
WR · Bears · 0.5% of the field
#9
Derrick Henry
HB · Packers · 0.5% of the field
The whole board →
IN THE BOOTH
Hollis Vaughn
The superfan
Chicago's ground game suffocated Green Bay's, and when one offense can't move the ball on the ground in a division game, 13 points is what you get — the Pack managed 38 rushing yards and never had a chance.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Caleb Williams
Bears
28/36, 266 yards, 2 TD
Micah Parsons
Packers
2.5 sacks
Jordan Love
Packers
16/36, 243 yards, 1 INT
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Bears 370, Packers 281
Bears
On the ground
Bears 104, Packers 38
Bears
Through the air
Bears 266, Packers 243
Bears
Pressure
Packers 3 sacks, Bears 5
Bears
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 62% · Rush 38% · 33.9 scored, 35.0 allowed
9.1 yds/att
65.3% completions
4.9 yds/carry
434.9 yds/game
1.8 giveaways/game
8.2% sack rate
last 5: 3-2
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 71 · Aggressive
Balance 88
Ball security 50
Back usage 29%
QB runs 5.6/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.2% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 88
TE 92
RB 87
OL 81
DL 85
LB 82
DB 87
Best: Caleb Williams QB 99
Fastest: Zavion Thomas WR 96 SPD
6 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 49% · Rush 51% · 31.1 scored, 24.6 allowed
7.9 yds/att
61.6% completions
5.4 yds/carry
374.6 yds/game
1.0 giveaways/game
7.8% sack rate
last 5: 5-0
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 61 · Efficient
Balance 99
Ball security 72
Back usage 46%
QB runs 3.0/game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 92
WR 82
TE 90
RB 86
OL 80
DL 87
LB 82
DB 88
Best: Micah Parsons REDG 99
Fastest: Christian Watson WR 96 SPD
4 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
𝙒𝙤𝙤𝙙𝙖
Packers · his last 8 games
Runs it
Protects it
Pass / run43% / 57%
Points for / against34.9 — 20.2
Margin+14.6
Giveaways a game0.6
Sacks taken8.3% of dropbacks
Lead backDerrick Henry · 20.8/g
Top targetChristian Watson · 32%
QB carries1.9 a game
24kbannd
Bears · his last 8 games
Balanced
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run60% / 40%
Points for / against31.8 — 36.2
Margin-4.5
Giveaways a game1.8
Sacks taken7.5% of dropbacks
Lead backZach Charbonnet · 13.1/g
Top targetZavion Thomas · 32%
QB carries5.4 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
24kbannd against 𝙒𝙤𝙤𝙙𝙖 — the men, not the teams
24kbannd leads it 2-0.
24kbannd has won 2 straight.
2 meetings
avg 29.5 — 12.5
biggest: 21 pts to 24kbannd
S2 · week 5
24kbannd 25 — 12 𝙒𝙤𝙤𝙙𝙖
24KBANND
S2 · week 2
24kbannd 34 — 13 𝙒𝙤𝙤𝙙𝙖
24KBANND
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Bears receivers vs Packers secondary
88 v 88
EVEN
Packers receivers vs Bears secondary
82 v 87
BEARS
Bears line vs Packers front
81 v 87
PACKERS
Packers line vs Bears front
80 v 85
BEARS
Bears backs vs Packers run defence
87 v 85
EVEN
Packers backs vs Bears run defence
86 v 85
EVEN
Bears passer vs Packers secondary
99 v 88
BEARS
Packers passer vs Bears secondary
92 v 87
PACKERS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | 28/36 | 266 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 115.9 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love QB | 16/36 | 243 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 55.6 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Charbonnet HB | 15 | 44 | 2.9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 1 |
| Caleb Williams QB | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| D'Andre Swift HB | 6 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | 1 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry HB | 14 | 38 | 2.7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavion Thomas WR | 10 | 129 | 12.9 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 33 |
| Colston Loveland TE | 4 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 17 |
| Rome Odunze WR | 4 | 34 | 8.5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| Luther Burden III WR | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| Zach Charbonnet HB | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| Konata Mumpfield WR | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| D'Andre Swift HB | 1 | -2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft TE | 6 | 83 | 13.8 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| Matthew Golden WR | 4 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 25 |
| Christian Watson WR | 3 | 54 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 30 |
| Savion Williams WR | 1 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 29 |
| Derrick Henry HB | 1 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| Dylan Wade FB | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suntarine Perkins REDG | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Battle SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Kyler Gordon SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Johnathan Edwards CB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ashton Hampton CB | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Matayo Uigalelei DT | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Stewart LEDG | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shemar Turner DT | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Bolden CB | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dillon Thieneman FS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| E.J. Speed SAM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrique Stevenson CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Bush MIKE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruben Hyppolite II WILL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin Cooper WILL | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Brandon Cisse CB | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Xavier McKinney SS | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Keisean Nixon CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Javon Bullard SS | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kelee Ringo CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Micah Parsons REDG | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris McClellan DT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin St-Juste CB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Scott DT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty'Ron Hopper WILL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah McDuffie SAM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Keon Sabb FS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukas Van Ness LEDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cairo Santos K | 3/3 | 2/2 | 53 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Smack K | 2/2 | 0/0 | 48 |
RECENT FORM
Bears
L
41–66 vs Vikings
WK 4
W
35–31 vs Browns
WK 3
W
34–13 vs Packers
WK 2
Packers
W
46–45 vs Broncos
WK 4
L
25–30 vs 49ers
WK 3
L
13–34 vs Bears
WK 2
TEAM STATS
| Bears | Packers | |
|---|---|---|
| 370 | TOTAL YARDS | 281 |
| 266 | PASSING YARDS | 243 |
| 104 | RUSHING YARDS | 38 |
| 3 | SACKS ALLOWED | 5 |
| 5 | SACKS MADE | 3 |
| 2 | GIVEAWAYS | 1 |
| 1 | TAKEAWAYS | 2 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
BEARS
—
0
PACKERS