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THE WIRE
THE READ
Texans win the turnover battle and the game

Giveaways decided this one. Texans 30, Falcons 24. C.J. Stroud did the damage for Texans — 24/40, 308 yards, 2 TD. Michael Penix Jr threw for Falcons — 19/38, 231 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT — in a losing effort. C.J. Stroud has not had a better afternoon this season. On the ground: Falcons 196, Texans 117.

The Wire · league beat
THE WIDER PICTURE
Team SRS SOS MARGIN TO +/-
Falcons -5.3 -2.6 -2.7 +3
Texans -1.3 -1.2 -0.1 -4
SRS is how many points a side beats an average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20. SOS is how hard that schedule has been. Full table.
Texans — AFC #6 · 8-6 Falcons — in the hunt · 6-8 Playoff picture →
IN THE BOOTH
Daniel Keller The numbers guy
Houston won a game it nearly gave away. The Falcons moved the ball—427 yards, nearly matched Houston's output—but couldn't stop giving it back; Houston didn't turn it over once. Tank Dell had 185 receiving yards because Atlanta's secondary couldn't locate him, and that alone was the difference in a 6-point game that felt closer than it was.
Nicole Santos Beat reporter · replying
Atlanta's at 4-7 and fighting for scraps in a weak division—this loss doesn't knock them out, but it confirms what the numbers already said: they can't beat good teams without a clean game, and Houston just proved it doesn't have to be close.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers — none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that did not happen.
C.J. Stroud
Texans
24/40, 308 yards, 2 TD
Michael Penix Jr
Falcons
19/38, 231 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Tank Dell
Texans
13 catches, 185 yards, 1 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
On the ground Falcons 196, Texans 117 Falcons
Through the air Texans 308, Falcons 231 Texans
Total yards Falcons 427, Texans 425 Falcons
Giveaways Texans 0, Falcons 2 Texans
THE ROOM Final. The recap is below.
📺 THE WEEK 6 SHOW this game is in the week's show ▶ Watch the show
THE MATCHUP SCOUT every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced Pass 56% · Rush 44% · 22.4 scored, 25.1 allowed
6.9 yds/att 57.6% completions 4.9 yds/carry 346.1 yds/game 1.1 giveaways/game 9.4% sack rate last 5: 3-2
Primary weapon: Drake London WR — 26% of the receiving yards · DEPENDENCY MODERATE
SAPPHIRE METRICS QB efficiency 47 · Conservative Balance 94 Ball security 70 Back usage 37% QB runs 3.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 9.4% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 78 WR 88 TE 86 RB 90 OL 84 DL 84 LB 78 DB 90
Best: Bijan Robinson HB 99 Fastest: Zachariah Branch WR 95 SPD 3 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Lor_mn
Texans · his last 8 games
Balanced Gives it away One target
Pass / run58% / 42% Points for / against20.6 — 23.4 Margin-2.8 Giveaways a game2.0 Sacks taken5.5% of dropbacks Lead backMark Fletcher Jr · 10.2/g Top targetNico Collins · 38% QB carries1.2 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Falcons receivers vs Texans secondary 88 v 91 TEXANS
Texans receivers vs Falcons secondary 88 v 90 EVEN
Falcons line vs Texans front 84 v 86 EVEN
Texans line vs Falcons front 84 v 84 EVEN
Falcons backs vs Texans run defence 90 v 84 FALCONS
Texans backs vs Falcons run defence 82 v 82 EVEN
Falcons passer vs Texans secondary 78 v 91 TEXANS
Texans passer vs Falcons secondary 89 v 90 EVEN
TOP PERFORMERS
C.J. Stroud QB Texans 308 pass yds
Michael Penix Jr QB Falcons 231 pass yds
Tank Dell WR Texans 185 rec yds
Zachariah Branch WR Falcons 122 rec yds
Bijan Robinson HB Falcons 120 rush yds
Nico Collins WR Texans 70 rec yds
Woody Marks HB Texans 66 rush yds
Jonathon Brooks HB Falcons 58 rush yds
Jalen Pitre SS Texans 1 INTs
🎬 The Game Recap
this game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post
›
BOX SCORE
FALCONS
PLAYER C/ATTYDSTDINTSCKLNGRTG
Michael Penix Jr QB 19/382312123075.6
TEXANS
PLAYER C/ATTYDSTDINTSCKLNGRTG
C.J. Stroud QB 24/4030820350100.8
RECENT FORM
Falcons
L 14–34 vs Jaguars WK 5
W 37–22 vs Eagles WK 4
W 33–22 vs Panthers WK 3
Texans
W 52–42 vs Dolphins WK 5
W 20–13 vs Patriots WK 4
L 34–41 vs Jaguars WK 3
TEAM STATS
Falcons Texans
427 TOTAL YARDS 425
231 PASSING YARDS 308
196 RUSHING YARDS 117
2 SACKS ALLOWED 3
3 SACKS MADE 2
2 GIVEAWAYS 0
0 TAKEAWAYS 2

Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.

ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
0 FALCONS — 1 TEXANS
LEAGUE CHAT
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