WEEK 7 · FINAL
THE READ
Luca Santana
Analyst
Giants beat Bills, 28-22
The Giants beat Buffalo 28-22 behind Jaxson Dart's 287 passing yards and 3 touchdowns, with Malik Nabers accounting for all 3 scores on 6 catches and 152 yards. New York controlled the game through the air, outgaining the Bills 287 to 182 passing yards while also winning the turnover battle, and despite Buffalo's run game producing 130 yards to the Giants' 113, the home team's efficiency advantage—New York's point margin adjusted for schedule strength sits at 16.8 compared to Buffalo's 8.5—proved decisive. The Bills' pass-heavy approach at 57 percent didn't deviate much from their season average, while the Giants ran more than they typically do this year, yet neither adjustment closed a gap that the numbers suggest should have been wider: New York's expected win rate from point differential alone is 84.2 percent to Buffalo's 71.9 percent.
Luca Santana
Analyst
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | +10.8 | -3.9 | +14.7 | +16 |
| Bills | +1.5 | -2.1 | +3.6 | +11 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
In the MVP race
#3
Jaxson Dart
QB · Giants · 0.8% of the field
#5
Malik Nabers
WR · Giants · 0.8% of the field
The whole board →
IN THE BOOTH
Riley Parker
The chaos merchant
Buffalo's problem wasn't complexity—it was math. The Bills turned the ball over 0 times and still lost to a team that gave it away twice, which means New York's weapons were simply operating on a different plane: Malik Nabers caught 3 touchdown passes, and when your receiver is doing that, ball security stops mattering.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Jaxson Dart
Giants
20/31, 287 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
Malik Nabers
Giants
6 catches, 152 yards, 3 TD
Dalton Kincaid
Bills
6 catches, 62 yards
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Through the air
Giants 287, Bills 182
Giants
Total yards
Giants 400, Bills 312
Giants
On the ground
Bills 130, Giants 113
Bills
Giveaways
Bills 0, Giants 2
Bills
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 59% · Rush 41% · 37.9 scored, 23.1 allowed
9.9 yds/att
61.2% completions
5.2 yds/carry
421.8 yds/game
1.3 giveaways/game
8.0% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 71 · Efficient
Balance 91
Ball security 64
Back usage 35%
QB runs 3.1/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.0% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 91
WR 84
TE 82
RB 86
OL 83
DL 85
LB 85
DB 84
Best: Andrew Thomas LT 94
Fastest: Malik Nabers WR 96 SPD
6 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 54% · Rush 46% · 23.7 scored, 20.1 allowed
6.7 yds/att
60.5% completions
4.8 yds/carry
326.1 yds/game
1.1 giveaways/game
8.0% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 48 · Conservative
Balance 96
Ball security 68
Back usage 36%
QB runs 5.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.0% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 86
TE 86
RB 91
OL 80
DL 86
LB 80
DB 88
Best: Josh Allen QB 99
Fastest: James Cook III HB 93 SPD
4 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Ant
Bills · his last 8 games
Runs it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run55% / 45%
Points for / against20.1 — 20.9
Margin-0.8
Giveaways a game1.5
Sacks taken7.8% of dropbacks
Lead backJames Cook III · 13.2/g
Top targetDJ Moore · 26%
QB carries5.1 a game
ReverseSzn_
Giants · his last 8 games
Balanced
One target
Pass / run56% / 44%
Points for / against32.2 — 24.8
Margin+7.5
Giveaways a game1.5
Sacks taken7.7% of dropbacks
Lead backCam Skattebo · 15.2/g
Top targetMalik Nabers · 38%
QB carries3.0 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
ReverseSzn_ against Ant — the men, not the teams
ReverseSzn_ leads it 1-0.
ReverseSzn_ won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 28.0 — 22.0
biggest: 6 pts to ReverseSzn_
S2 · week 7
ReverseSzn_ 28 — 22 Ant
REVERSESZN_
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Giants receivers vs Bills secondary
84 v 88
BILLS
Bills receivers vs Giants secondary
86 v 84
EVEN
Giants line vs Bills front
83 v 86
BILLS
Bills line vs Giants front
80 v 85
GIANTS
Giants backs vs Bills run defence
86 v 84
EVEN
Bills backs vs Giants run defence
91 v 85
BILLS
Giants passer vs Bills secondary
91 v 88
GIANTS
Bills passer vs Giants secondary
99 v 84
BILLS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
GIANTS
BILLS
GIANTS
BILLS
GIANTS
BILLS
GIANTS
BILLS
GIANTS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart QB | 20/31 | 287 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 113.2 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | 19/37 | 182 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 92.3 |
GIANTS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo HB | 16 | 62 | 3.9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr HB | 9 | 40 | 4.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Jaxson Dart QB | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Waymond Jordan HB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Nabers WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook III HB | 8 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| Josh Allen QB | 10 | 43 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Ray Davis HB | 10 | 39 | 3.9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
GIANTS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers WR | 6 | 152 | 25.3 | 3 | 103 | 0 | 53 |
| Bryce Ford-Wheaton WR | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 24 |
| Theo Johnson TE | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| Cam Skattebo HB | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| Malachi Fields WR | 3 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr HB | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 6 | 62 | 10.3 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 15 |
| Cooper Kupp WR | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 30 |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 2 | 36 | 18 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 28 |
| DJ Moore WR | 2 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| Joshua Palmer WR | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| James Cook III HB | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| Ray Davis HB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
GIANTS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulson Adebo CB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| JT Woods FS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Arvell Reese WILL | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Tyler Nubin SS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Abdul Carter REDG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jevon Holland FS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Greg Newsome II CB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Darius Alexander DT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dru Phillips CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anto Saka REDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Kelly MIKE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Colton Hood CB | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tremaine Edmunds MIKE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Benford CB | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Terrel Bernard MIKE | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Greg Rousseau LEDG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Gardner-Johnson SS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Davison Igbinosun CB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dorian Williams WILL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Stone FS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ed Oliver DT | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy DT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlon Humphrey CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Hoecht LEDG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Parker REDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Smith DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Bishop FS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ahmad Moten Sr DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RECENT FORM
Giants
L
28–38 vs Packers
WK 6
W
21–17 vs Rams
WK 5
W
49–7 vs Panthers
WK 4
Bills
W
38–10 vs Commanders
WK 5
L
17–24 vs Dolphins
WK 4
W
34–24 vs Saints
WK 3
TEAM STATS
| Giants | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| 400 | TOTAL YARDS | 312 |
| 287 | PASSING YARDS | 182 |
| 113 | RUSHING YARDS | 130 |
| 2 | SACKS ALLOWED | 1 |
| 1 | SACKS MADE | 2 |
| 2 | GIVEAWAYS | 0 |
| 0 | TAKEAWAYS | 2 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
GIANTS
—
0
BILLS