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THE WIRE
THE READ
Bills run away with it, 45-7

Buffalo dismantled New York 45-7, a margin that understates the performance gap. Josh Allen completed 15 of 31 for 326 yards and 4 touchdowns while Nyck Harbor caught 6 passes for 202 yards and 3 scores, the only two names that mattered on either side. The Jets managed 196 total yards, 24 on the ground, and coughed up 6 turnovers to Buffalo's 2, which is the entire explanation for why one team is 3-0 and the other is 1-2.

Marcus Reyes The numbers guy
THE WIDER PICTURE
Team SRS SOS MARGIN TO +/-
Bills +3.6 -3.7 +7.2 +2
Jets -18.4 +5.4 -23.8 -8
SRS is how many points a side beats an average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20. SOS is how hard that schedule has been. Full table.
Bills — AFC #7 · 3-1 Playoff picture →
IN THE BOOTH
Nicole Santos Beat reporter
Buffalo ran the game away from start to finish. Nyck Harbor put 202 yards and 3 touchdowns on New York, and the Jets could not answer—they turned the ball over 6 times and managed just 24 rushing yards, which is not a problem you solve in one afternoon.
Caleb Brooks Beat reporter · replying
Buffalo got away with 2 turnovers to New York's 6, but here's the thing: they didn't need ball security to win this one. The Jets threw 25 passes and ran 14 times down 38 points—that's desperation playcalling against a team that was already playing loose. Buffalo was just better.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers — none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that did not happen.
Josh Allen
Bills
15/31, 326 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT
Nyck Harbor
Bills
6 catches, 202 yards, 3 TD
Dylan Stewart
Bills
2 sacks
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards Bills 430, Jets 196 Bills
Through the air Bills 326, Jets 172 Bills
On the ground Bills 104, Jets 24 Bills
Giveaways Jets 6, Bills 2 Bills
THE ROOM Final. The recap is below.
📺 THE WEEK 3 SHOW this game is in the week's show ▶ Watch the show
THE MATCHUP SCOUT every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy Pass 61% · Rush 39% · 36.5 scored, 29.2 allowed
9.2 yds/att 57.0% completions 7.5 yds/carry 352.2 yds/game 2.5 giveaways/game 7.4% sack rate last 4: 3-1
Primary weapon: Nyck Harbor WR — 37% of the receiving yards · DEPENDENCY HIGH
SAPPHIRE METRICS QB efficiency 61 · Aggressive Balance 89 Ball security 30 Back usage 27% QB runs 5.2/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 2.5 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99 WR 84 TE 99 RB 88 OL 82 DL 80 LB 81 DB 82
Best: Josh Allen QB 99 Fastest: Nyck Harbor WR 99 SPD 13 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Kd is a 3.5
Jets · his last 4 games
Balanced Gives it away One back
Pass / run57% / 43% Points for / against15.0 — 38.8 Margin-23.8 Giveaways a game4.5 Sacks taken5.5% of dropbacks Lead backIsaac Brown · 14.5/g Top targetRyan Wingo · 35% QB carries1.5 a game
Bills
Bills · his last 4 games
Balanced Gives it away Runs the quarterback
Pass / run61% / 39% Points for / against36.5 — 29.2 Margin+7.2 Giveaways a game2.5 Sacks taken7.4% of dropbacks Lead backJames Cook III · 9.2/g Top targetNyck Harbor · 37% QB carries5.2 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES Bills against Kd is a 3.5 — the men, not the teams
Bills leads it 1-0. Bills won the last one.
1 meeting avg 45.0 — 7.0 biggest: 38 pts to Bills
S2 · week 3 Bills 45 — 7 Kd is a 3.5 BILLS
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Bills receivers vs Jets secondary 84 v 82 EVEN
Jets receivers vs Bills secondary 84 v 82 EVEN
Bills line vs Jets front 82 v 82 EVEN
Jets line vs Bills front 79 v 80 EVEN
Bills backs vs Jets run defence 88 v 84 BILLS
Jets backs vs Bills run defence 84 v 81 JETS
Bills passer vs Jets secondary 99 v 82 BILLS
Jets passer vs Bills secondary 79 v 82 BILLS
TOP PERFORMERS
Josh Allen QB Bills 326 pass yds
Nyck Harbor WR Bills 202 rec yds
Demond William Jr. QB Jets 172 pass yds
Ryan Wingo WR Jets 121 rec yds
Josh Allen QB Bills 89 rush yds
Dylan Stewart REDG Bills 2 sacks
Jordan Hancock SS Bills 1 INTs
Davison Igbinosun SS Bills 4 INTs
Minkah Fitzpatrick SS Jets 1 INTs
D'Angelo Ponds CB Jets 1 INTs
🎬 The Game Recap
this game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post
›
BOX SCORE
BILLS
PLAYER C/ATTYDSTDINTSCKLNGRTG
Josh Allen QB 15/313264236098.9
JETS
PLAYER C/ATTYDSTDINTSCKLNGRTG
Demond William Jr. QB 11/251720635127.8
RECENT FORM
Bills
W 45–35 vs Cowboys WK 2
W 42–33 vs Texans WK 1
Jets
L 7–38 vs Eagles WK 2
W 30–27 vs Panthers WK 1
TEAM STATS
Bills Jets
430 TOTAL YARDS 196
326 PASSING YARDS 172
104 RUSHING YARDS 24
3 SACKS ALLOWED 3
3 SACKS MADE 3
2 GIVEAWAYS 6
6 TAKEAWAYS 2

Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.

ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
1 BILLS — 0 JETS
LEAGUE CHAT
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