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THE WIRE
WK 6 FINAL Saints 17, Giants 21 WK 6 FINAL Cardinals 24, Rams 27 WK 6 FINAL Bears 25, Falcons 19 MOVE Jaxson Dart dev trait up Star to Superstar MOVE Theo Johnson dev trait up Star to X-Factor THE WIRE someone: The booth on Browns win the turnover battle and the game THE WIRE someone: Browns win the turnover battle and the game THE WIRE someone: Colts beat Commanders, 30-17
WEEK 4 · FINAL
PATRIOTS 3-6 · 29.0 PPG 39 – 42 BILLS 5-3 · 31.0 PPG
THE READ
Bills edge Patriots by 3

Bills needed all sixty minutes, edging Patriots 42-39. Josh Allen threw for Bills — 17/26, 312 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT. Drake Maye did the damage for Patriots — 11/20, 259 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT — in a losing effort. Make it 4 consecutive games past 250 for Drake Maye. Through the air: Bills 312, Patriots 259.

Daniel Keller The numbers guy
THE WIDER PICTURE
Team SRS SOS MARGIN TO +/-
Patriots +10.8 +6.6 +4.2 +0
Bills +6.4 +5.3 +1.2 -3
SRS is how many points a side beats an average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20. SOS is how hard that schedule has been. Full table.
Bills — AFC #6 · 5-3 Playoff picture →
In the MVP race
#11 Drake Maye QB · Patriots · 1.5% of the field
The whole board →
IN THE BOOTH
Marcus Reyes The numbers guy
Josh Allen's 2 interceptions against a Patriots defense that figures to give you nothing is what separates a 3-point win from a comfortable one—Buffalo's margin of victory tracks directly to its turnover problem, not its talent.
Caleb Brooks Beat reporter · replying
New England's ground game kept this close enough to steal—Henderson's 172 yards gave the Pats a fighting chance they had no business having at 3-6, but Allen's arm (312 yards, 3 TD) was the difference when it mattered.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers — none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that did not happen.
Josh Allen
Bills
17/26, 312 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT
Drake Maye
Patriots
11/20, 259 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
TreVeyon Henderson
Patriots
10 carries, 172 yards, 2 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Through the air Bills 312, Patriots 259 Bills
Total yards Bills 489, Patriots 457 Bills
On the ground Patriots 198, Bills 177 Patriots
Giveaways Bills 2, Patriots 2 Patriots
THE ROOM Final. The recap is below.
📺 THE WEEK 4 SHOW this game is in the week's show ▶ Watch the show
THE MATCHUP SCOUT every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy Pass 61% · Rush 39% · 37.3 scored, 33.2 allowed
12.0 yds/att 67.5% completions 7.6 yds/carry 441.0 yds/game 2.0 giveaways/game 7.6% sack rate last 5: 2-3
Primary weapon: Tyreek Hill WR — 36% of the receiving yards · DEPENDENCY HIGH
SAPPHIRE METRICS QB efficiency 75 · Aggressive Balance 89 Ball security 44 Back usage 25% QB runs 6.2/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 2.0 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 93 WR 86 TE 88 RB 83 OL 82 DL 82 LB 77 DB 88
Best: Christian Gonzalez CB 99 Fastest: Tyreek Hill WR 96 SPD 7 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
walkinhotdog
Bills · his last 6 games
Runs it Gives it away One back Takes sacks
Pass / run50% / 50% Points for / against32.5 — 31.3 Margin+1.2 Giveaways a game2.2 Sacks taken9.5% of dropbacks Lead backJames Cook III · 13.5/g Top targetDalton Kincaid · 29% QB carries3.3 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Patriots receivers vs Bills secondary 86 v 81 PATRIOTS
Bills receivers vs Patriots secondary 83 v 88 PATRIOTS
Patriots line vs Bills front 82 v 82 EVEN
Bills line vs Patriots front 82 v 82 EVEN
Patriots backs vs Bills run defence 83 v 81 EVEN
Bills backs vs Patriots run defence 86 v 80 BILLS
Patriots passer vs Bills secondary 93 v 81 PATRIOTS
Bills passer vs Patriots secondary 99 v 88 BILLS
TOP PERFORMERS
Josh Allen QB Bills 312 pass yds
Drake Maye QB Patriots 259 pass yds
TreVeyon Henderson HB Patriots 172 rush yds
James Cook III HB Bills 169 rush yds
Kyle Williams WR Patriots 113 rec yds
Tyreek Hill WR Patriots 72 rec yds
Dalton Kincaid TE Bills 65 rec yds
James Cook III HB Bills 61 rec yds
DJ Moore WR Bills 60 rec yds
Joshua Palmer WR Bills 51 rec yds
🎬 The Game Recap
this game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
PATRIOTS
PLAYER C/ATTYDSTDINTSCKLNGRTG
Drake Maye QB 11/2025921165112.4
BILLS
PLAYER C/ATTYDSTDINTSCKLNGRTG
Josh Allen QB 17/2631232144112.9
RECENT FORM
Patriots
W 45–42 vs Jaguars WK 3
W 56–27 vs Steelers WK 2
W 37–22 vs Seahawks WK 1
Bills
L 23–46 vs Chargers WK 3
L 14–28 vs Lions WK 2
W 47–8 vs Texans WK 1
TEAM STATS
Patriots Bills
457 TOTAL YARDS 489
259 PASSING YARDS 312
198 RUSHING YARDS 177
1 SACKS ALLOWED 1
1 SACKS MADE 1
2 GIVEAWAYS 2
2 TAKEAWAYS 2

Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.

ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
0 PATRIOTS — 1 BILLS
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