WEEK 4 · FINAL
THE READ
Elise Carter
The insider
Buccaneers edge Packers by 3
Buccaneers 31, Packers 28. Nobody watching sat down. Aaron Rodgers did the damage for Packers — 16/24, 369 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT — in a losing effort. Baker Mayfield was steady for Buccaneers — 25/41, 319 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT. That is 4 straight games over 250 for Baker Mayfield. Total yards: Packers 435, Buccaneers 349.
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +5.8 | -1.9 | +7.8 | +10 |
| Buccaneers | +10.9 | -3.8 | +14.7 | +4 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
IN THE BOOTH
Jordan Hayes
The armchair coach
Green Bay had 435 yards and a quarterback throwing 5 touchdown passes—and still lost by 3 because they couldn't establish anything on the ground, gaining just 66 yards while the Bucs leaned into the pass at 87% and got Baker Mayfield to 4 touchdowns anyway. The Pack need to find a way to run the ball effectively or they'll keep leaving points on the field in close ones.
Luca Santana
Analyst
· replying
Eli Stowers made the most of his afternoon—8 catches for 131 yards and 2 touchdowns—and in a game where the Bucs threw 87% of the time on just 41 attempts, that kind of volume and efficiency out of a receiver tells you Tampa Bay has figured out how to get playmakers open even when everybody in the stadium knows it's coming.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Aaron Rodgers
Packers
16/24, 369 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT
Baker Mayfield
Buccaneers
25/41, 319 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT
Eli Stowers
Buccaneers
8 catches, 131 yards, 2 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Packers 435, Buccaneers 349
Packers
Through the air
Packers 369, Buccaneers 319
Packers
On the ground
Packers 66, Buccaneers 30
Packers
Giveaways
Buccaneers 1, Packers 1
Packers
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 62% · Rush 38% · 36.4 scored, 28.6 allowed
11.6 yds/att
64.8% completions
4.9 yds/carry
382.4 yds/game
0.9 giveaways/game
8.3% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 74 · Efficient
Balance 88
Ball security 76
Back usage 36%
QB runs 0.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.3% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 79
TE 86
RB 82
OL 76
DL 85
LB 75
DB 82
Best: Aaron Rodgers QB 99
Fastest: Christian Watson WR 96 SPD
7 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 91% · Rush 9% · 39.0 scored, 24.3 allowed
11.2 yds/att
69.6% completions
4.1 yds/carry
399.1 yds/game
1.9 giveaways/game
4.0% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 77 · Aggressive
Balance 59
Ball security 47
Back usage 6%
QB runs 1.1/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 1.9 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 96
WR 85
TE 80
RB 84
OL 81
DL 86
LB 75
DB 88
Best: Vita Vea DT 97
Fastest: Ted Hurst III WR 95 SPD
11 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
nardwick
Buccaneers · his last 8 games
Throws it
Gives it away
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run91% / 9%
Points for / against39.1 — 28.2
Margin+10.9
Giveaways a game2.0
Sacks taken4.2% of dropbacks
Lead backBucky Irving · 2.2/g
Top targetAdonai Mitchell · 23%
QB carries1.0 a game
Better88
Packers · his last 8 games
Throws it
One back
Pass / run62% / 38%
Points for / against36.4 — 28.6
Margin+7.8
Giveaways a game0.9
Sacks taken8.3% of dropbacks
Lead backJosh Jacobs · 13.4/g
Top targetChristian Watson · 30%
QB carries0.5 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
Better88 against nardwick — the men, not the teams
nardwick leads it 1-0.
nardwick won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 28.0 — 31.0
biggest: 3 pts to nardwick
S1 · week 4
Better88 28 — 31 nardwick
NARDWICK
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Packers receivers vs Buccaneers secondary
79 v 88
BUCCANEERS
Buccaneers receivers vs Packers secondary
85 v 82
BUCCANEERS
Packers line vs Buccaneers front
76 v 86
BUCCANEERS
Buccaneers line vs Packers front
81 v 85
PACKERS
Packers backs vs Buccaneers run defence
82 v 83
EVEN
Buccaneers backs vs Packers run defence
84 v 82
EVEN
Packers passer vs Buccaneers secondary
99 v 88
PACKERS
Buccaneers passer vs Packers secondary
96 v 82
BUCCANEERS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
PACKERS
BUCCANEERS
PACKERS
BUCCANEERS
PACKERS
BUCCANEERS
PACKERS
BUCCANEERS
PACKERS
BUCCANEERS
PACKERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers QB | 16/24 | 369 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 85 | 131.9 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield QB | 25/41 | 319 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 107.6 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs HB | 14 | 65 | 4.6 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| MarShawn Lloyd HB | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Tucker Kraft TE | 1 | -2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving HB | 6 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| Eli Stowers TE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden WR | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Christian Watson WR | 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Tucker Kraft TE | 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Josh Jacobs HB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Stowers TE | 8 | 131 | 16.4 | 2 | 36 | 1 | 23 |
| Ted Hurst III WR | 7 | 115 | 16.4 | 1 | 51 | 0 | 38 |
| Adonai Mitchell WR | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 25 |
| Bucky Irving HB | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 8 |
| Emeka Egbuka WR | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Simpson FS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier McKinney SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin St-Juste CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Bullard SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Hargrave DT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jadeveon Clowney LEDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devonte Wyatt DT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Parsons REDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dru Phillips FS | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keisean Nixon CB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyon McCollum CB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SirVocea Dennis MIKE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr FS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vita Vea DT | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelee Ringo FS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calijah Kancey DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shemar Stewart REDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Andersen MIKE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keionte Scott CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Parrish CB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cor'Dale Flott SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PACKERS
nothing recorded
BUCCANEERS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlin K | 1/2 | 2/3 | 33 |
RECENT FORM
Packers
L
34–42 vs Falcons
WK 3
L
10–20 vs Jets
WK 2
W
41–38 vs Vikings
WK 1
Buccaneers
L
31–34 vs Vikings
WK 3
W
45–14 vs Browns
WK 2
W
42–17 vs Jets
WK 1
TEAM STATS
| Packers | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| 435 | TOTAL YARDS | 349 |
| 369 | PASSING YARDS | 319 |
| 66 | RUSHING YARDS | 30 |
| 1 | SACKS ALLOWED | 1 |
| 1 | SACKS MADE | 1 |
| 1 | GIVEAWAYS | 1 |
| 3 | TAKEAWAYS | 2 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
PACKERS
—
1
BUCCANEERS