WEEK 5 · FINAL
THE READ
Devon Walker
Beat reporter
88 points between Bears and Packers
Green Bay won 51-37, with Aaron Rodgers throwing 6 touchdowns on 20 of 25 passing to beat Caleb Williams and the Bears in a shootout where both offenses moved the ball at will. Williams had his best day of the season with 403 yards and 5 touchdowns, and Rome Odunze caught 9 passes for 163 yards and 3 scores, but it wasn't enough. The difference came on the ground, where Green Bay rushed for 48 yards to Chicago's 33, and on the edges, where the Packers sacked Williams 5 times while the Bears got to Rodgers once.
Devon Walker
Beat reporter
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | +5.5 | +1.4 | +4.1 | +8 |
| Packers | +5.8 | -1.9 | +7.8 | +10 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
IN THE BOOTH
Zoe Bell
The contrarian
Chicago threw it 33 times and still lost by 14—not because Caleb Williams or Rome Odunze weren't brilliant, but because Green Bay's pass rush (5 sacks) turned this into a one-sided affair the scoreline refuses to admit. The Bears abandoned the ground game and paid for it.
Sierra Vaughn
Analyst
· replying
Chicago's 403 yards and 5 touchdowns through the air look like a season-best afternoon, but Green Bay's 6 from Rodgers and a defense that generated 5 sacks in a shootout tells you the Bears are still the better team on paper—their expected win rate all season sits at 60.1 percent—and this loss is the kind of outlier that happens when a superior offense simply runs into one that's hotter.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Aaron Rodgers
Packers
20/25, 379 yards, 6 TD
Caleb Williams
Bears
25/33, 403 yards, 5 TD, 2 INT
Rome Odunze
Bears
9 catches, 163 yards, 3 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Through the air
Bears 403, Packers 379
Bears
On the ground
Packers 48, Bears 33
Packers
Total yards
Bears 436, Packers 427
Bears
Pressure
Packers 5 sacks, Bears 1.5
Packers
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 61% · Rush 39% · 33.8 scored, 29.7 allowed
10.8 yds/att
61.9% completions
6.4 yds/carry
403.9 yds/game
1.7 giveaways/game
9.0% sack rate
last 5: 2-3
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 65 · Aggressive
Balance 89
Ball security 53
Back usage 26%
QB runs 5.7/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 9.0% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 92
WR 82
TE 86
RB 82
OL 82
DL 83
LB 80
DB 86
Best: Joe Thuney LG 96
Fastest: Zavion Thomas WR 96 SPD
6 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 62% · Rush 38% · 36.4 scored, 28.6 allowed
11.6 yds/att
64.8% completions
4.9 yds/carry
382.4 yds/game
0.9 giveaways/game
8.3% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 74 · Efficient
Balance 88
Ball security 76
Back usage 36%
QB runs 0.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.3% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 79
TE 86
RB 82
OL 76
DL 85
LB 75
DB 82
Best: Aaron Rodgers QB 99
Fastest: Christian Watson WR 96 SPD
7 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Better88
Packers · his last 8 games
Throws it
One back
Pass / run62% / 38%
Points for / against36.4 — 28.6
Margin+7.8
Giveaways a game0.9
Sacks taken8.3% of dropbacks
Lead backJosh Jacobs · 13.4/g
Top targetChristian Watson · 30%
QB carries0.5 a game
Josh 🦅
Bears · his last 8 games
Balanced
Runs the quarterback
Takes sacks
Pass / run61% / 39%
Points for / against30.1 — 29.5
Margin+0.6
Giveaways a game1.8
Sacks taken9.8% of dropbacks
Lead backD'Andre Swift · 10.0/g
Top targetLuther Burden III · 27%
QB carries5.4 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
Josh 🦅 against Better88 — the men, not the teams
Better88 leads it 1-0.
Better88 won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 37.0 — 51.0
biggest: 14 pts to Better88
S1 · week 5
Josh 🦅 37 — 51 Better88
BETTER88
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Bears receivers vs Packers secondary
82 v 82
EVEN
Packers receivers vs Bears secondary
79 v 86
BEARS
Bears line vs Packers front
82 v 85
PACKERS
Packers line vs Bears front
76 v 83
BEARS
Bears backs vs Packers run defence
82 v 82
EVEN
Packers backs vs Bears run defence
82 v 83
EVEN
Bears passer vs Packers secondary
92 v 82
BEARS
Packers passer vs Bears secondary
99 v 86
PACKERS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
PACKERS
BEARS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | 25/33 | 403 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 130.4 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers QB | 20/25 | 379 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 158.3 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| D'Andre Swift HB | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs HB | 11 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| Aaron Rodgers QB | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Christian Watson WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rome Odunze WR | 9 | 163 | 18.1 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 50 |
| Luther Burden III WR | 4 | 98 | 24.5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 31 |
| D'Andre Swift HB | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 17 |
| Colston Loveland TE | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| Zavion Thomas WR | 3 | 39 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savion Williams WR | 4 | 135 | 33.8 | 2 | 74 | 0 | 65 |
| Christian Watson WR | 6 | 109 | 18.2 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 40 |
| Tucker Kraft TE | 5 | 73 | 14.6 | 2 | 63 | 0 | 41 |
| Josh Jacobs HB | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 33 |
| Bo Melton WR | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Josh Whyle TE | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Matthew Golden WR | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minkah Fitzpatrick SS | 6 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Tyrique Stevenson CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Coby Bryant FS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon Thieneman SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montez Sweat LEDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Davenport LEDG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyler Gordon CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Phillips FS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin St-Juste CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier McKinney SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jadeveon Clowney LEDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Cisse CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devonte Wyatt DT | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Parsons REDG | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty'Ron Hopper WILL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakorian Bennett CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Avonte Maddox FS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keisean Nixon CB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukas Van Ness DT | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Blount FS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Hargrave DT | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BEARS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cairo Santos K | 1/1 | 4/5 | 40 |
PACKERS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Smack K | 1/1 | 6/7 | 42 |
RECENT FORM
Bears
L
6–18 vs Jets
WK 4
W
45–32 vs Eagles
WK 3
W
31–21 vs Vikings
WK 2
Packers
L
28–31 vs Buccaneers
WK 4
L
34–42 vs Falcons
WK 3
L
10–20 vs Jets
WK 2
TEAM STATS
| Bears | Packers | |
|---|---|---|
| 436 | TOTAL YARDS | 427 |
| 403 | PASSING YARDS | 379 |
| 33 | RUSHING YARDS | 48 |
| 5 | SACKS ALLOWED | 1 |
| 1.5 | SACKS MADE | 5 |
| 2 | GIVEAWAYS | 1 |
| 1 | TAKEAWAYS | 2 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
BEARS
—
1
PACKERS