Ravens @ Colts · Week 12 — SapphireSportz

WEEK 12 · FINAL

THE READ

Ravens edge Colts by 1

The Colts had everything working—256 passing yards, 5 catches and 103 yards from Deion Burks, and a 1-point loss at home that should sting because they outgained Baltimore 309 to 279 and won the pressure battle 3 sacks to 1. Indianapolis needs to look at execution in tight moments; LaNorris Sellers completed 21 of 31 but one turnover in a game decided by a point is one too many. The Colts are 9-2 and still dangerous, but this is exactly the kind of winnable game they have to finish when margins are this thin.

Jordan Hayes The armchair coach

THE WIDER PICTURE

Team	SRS	SOS	MARGIN	TO +/-
Ravens	+17.7	+2.6	+15.1	+8
Colts	+11.0	-1.9	+12.9	+15

SRS is how many points a side beats an average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20. SOS is how hard that schedule has been. Full table.

Ravens — AFC #1 · division · 12-2 Colts — AFC #5 · 11-3 Playoff picture →

In the MVP race

#4 Lamar Jackson QB · Ravens · 0.8% of the field

#6 LaNorris Sellers QB · Colts · 0.6% of the field

#12 Duce Robinson WR · Colts · 0.4% of the field

The whole board →

IN THE BOOTH

Sierra Vaughn Analyst

Indianapolis had every reason to win this game—they moved the ball better, they hit Baltimore harder on defense, and Deion Burks turned 5 catches into 103 yards and a touchdown. But a 1-point loss to a team that outscores its talent level means the Colts' turnover discipline, which has kept them alive all season, finally stopped mattering.

They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers — none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that did not happen.

LaNorris Sellers

Colts

21/31, 256 yards, 1 TD

Uar Bernard

Colts

2 sacks

Deion Burks

Colts

5 catches, 103 yards, 1 TD

THE STORY SO FAR

⭐ DJ Giddens has not had a better afternoon this season.

📈 Zay Flowers is in form: 69 receiving yards a game over his last three, against a season average of 47.

WHAT DECIDED IT

Through the air Colts 256, Ravens 154 Colts

On the ground Ravens 125, Colts 53 Ravens

Total yards Colts 309, Ravens 279 Colts

Pressure Colts 3 sacks, Ravens 1 Colts

THE ROOM Final. The recap is below.

📺 THE WEEK 12 SHOW this game is in the week's show ▶ Watch the show

THE MATCHUP SCOUT every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling

LEAGUE DATA counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it

Balanced Pass 56% · Rush 44% · 35.1 scored, 20.0 allowed

10.5 yds/att 65.7% completions 5.3 yds/carry 380.5 yds/game 0.9 giveaways/game 9.7% sack rate last 5: 3-2

Primary weapon: Devontez Walker WR — 26% of the receiving yards · DEPENDENCY MODERATE

SAPPHIRE METRICS QB efficiency 75 · Efficient Balance 94 Ball security 74 Back usage 32% QB runs 5.8/game

Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 9.7% of dropbacks

PERSONNEL off the roster — unit averages, best starters only

QB 99 WR 86 TE 90 RB 84 OL 81 DL 87 LB 83 DB 90

Best: Lamar Jackson QB 99 Fastest: Lamar Jackson QB 95 SPD 8 at star dev or better

YOUR NOTEBOOK what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic

HOW THEY PLAY the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season

REECE PEICES

Colts · his last 8 games

Throws it Runs the quarterback

Pass / run66% / 34% Points for / against21.8 — 12.5 Margin+9.2 Giveaways a game1.2 Sacks taken7.3% of dropbacks Lead backNate Frazier · 7.4/g Top targetTyler Warren · 29% QB carries4.5 a game

Lamar Jackson

Ravens · his last 8 games

Balanced Runs the quarterback Takes sacks

Pass / run59% / 41% Points for / against32.8 — 27.5 Margin+5.2 Giveaways a game1.2 Sacks taken9.3% of dropbacks Lead backAdam Randall · 10.8/g Top targetDevontez Walker · 24% QB carries7.8 a game

Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.

THE SERIES Lamar Jackson against REECE PEICES — the men, not the teams

Lamar Jackson leads it 1-0. Lamar Jackson won the last one.

1 meeting avg 20.0 — 19.0 biggest: 1 pts to Lamar Jackson

S2 · week 12 Lamar Jackson 20 — 19 REECE PEICES LAMAR JACKSON

Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.

MATCHUP ADVANTAGES unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push

Ravens receivers vs Colts secondary 86 v 94 COLTS

Colts receivers vs Ravens secondary 92 v 90 EVEN

Ravens line vs Colts front 81 v 90 COLTS

Colts line vs Ravens front 89 v 87 EVEN

Ravens backs vs Colts run defence 84 v 89 COLTS

Colts backs vs Ravens run defence 84 v 86 EVEN

Ravens passer vs Colts secondary 99 v 94 RAVENS

Colts passer vs Ravens secondary 93 v 90 COLTS

TOP PERFORMERS

LaNorris Sellers QB Colts 256 pass yds

Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 154 pass yds

Deion Burks WR Colts 103 rec yds

Tyler Warren TE Colts 64 rec yds

Adam Randall HB Ravens 61 rush yds

Uar Bernard DT Colts 2 sacks

Jamari Sharpe CB Colts 1 INTs

🎬 The Game Recap
this game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›

BOX SCORE

RAVENS

PLAYER	C/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	SCK	LNG	RTG
Lamar Jackson QB	18/26	154	1	1	3	24	81.2

COLTS

PLAYER	C/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	SCK	LNG	RTG
LaNorris Sellers QB	21/31	256	1	0	1	53	103.6

RAVENS

PLAYER	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	BTK	YAC	LNG
Adam Randall HB	15	61	4.1	0	3	35	29
Lamar Jackson QB	11	45	4.1	0	0	0	9
Ja'Kobi Lane WR	1	21	21	1	1	20	21
Matthew Hibner TE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
Josh Jacobs HB	1	-2	-2	0	0	0	0

COLTS

PLAYER	CAR	YDS	AVG	BTK	YAC	LNG	FUM
DJ Giddens HB	6	27	4.5	1	20	20	0
Nate Frazier HB	18	26	1.4	0	0	7	1
LaNorris Sellers QB	2	3	1.5	0	0	2	0
Deion Burks WR	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
Tyler Warren TE	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Brian Robinson Jr HB	1	-3	-3	0	0	0	0

RAVENS

PLAYER	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	YAC	DRP	LNG
Zay Flowers WR	4	45	11.2	0	8	1	17
Ja'Kobi Lane WR	2	27	13.5	0	0	0	24
Matthew Hibner TE	2	23	11.5	0	3	0	15
Dallas Goedert TE	3	18	6	0	0	0	12
Mark Andrews TE	2	15	7.5	1	2	0	10
Devontez Walker WR	3	14	4.7	0	2	0	8
Josh Jacobs HB	1	6	6	0	5	0	6
Adam Randall HB	1	6	6	0	3	0	6

COLTS

PLAYER	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	YAC	LNG
Deion Burks WR	5	103	20.6	1	55	53
Tyler Warren TE	8	64	8	0	7	19
Josh Downs WR	2	35	17.5	0	10	24
Hayden Hansen TE	4	30	7.5	0	15	14
Jayden Reed WR	1	16	16	0	2	16
Duce Robinson WR	1	8	8	0	0	8

RAVENS

PLAYER	TKL	SCK	PD	FF	CMP ALW
Kyle Hamilton SS	8	0	0	1	4
Roquan Smith MIKE	7	0	0	0	4
Nnamdi Madubuike DT	5	0.5	0	0	0
Malaki Starks CB	5	0	1	0	2
Chandler Rivers CB	4	0	0	0	3
Nate Wiggins CB	3	0	0	0	0
Dominic DeLuca WILL	3	0	0	0	0
Devonte Wyatt DT	3	0	0	0	0
Travis Jones DT	3	0	0	0	0
KJ Bolden FS	2	0	1	0	3
Isaiah Simmons MIKE	2	0.5	0	0	4
Tavius Robinson LEDG	2	0	0	0	0
Jared Harrison-Hunte DT	1	0	0	0	0
Teddye Buchanan WILL	1	0	0	0	0
Mike Green LEDG	1	0	0	0	1

COLTS

PLAYER	TKL	SCK	INT	CMP ALW
A.J. Haulcy SS	5	0.5	0	5
Jaylon Carlies WILL	5	0	0	2
Lewis Cine FS	5	0	0	2
Adetomiwa Adebawore REDG	5	0	0	0
CJ Allen MIKE	4	0	0	1
Jaylon Johnson CB	4	0	0	2
Jamari Sharpe CB	3	0	1	3
Uar Bernard DT	3	2	0	0
Sauce Gardner CB	2	0	0	2
Laiatu Latu LEDG	1	0.5	0	0
JT Tuimoloau DT	1	0	0	0
Caden Curry LEDG	1	0	0	0
Dominique Hampton WILL	0	0	0	1

RAVENS

PLAYER	FG	XP	LNG
Tyler Loop K	2/2	2/2	56

COLTS

PLAYER	FG	XP	LNG
Spencer Shrader K	4/4	1/1	57

RECENT FORM

Ravens

L 63–87 vs Lions WK 11

L 13–20 vs Chiefs WK 10

W 31–17 vs Chargers WK 9

Colts

W 17–9 vs Buccaneers WK 11

W 24–16 vs Texans WK 10

W 35–7 vs Jaguars WK 9

TEAM STATS

Ravens		Colts
279	TOTAL YARDS	309
154	PASSING YARDS	256
125	RUSHING YARDS	53
3	SACKS ALLOWED	1
1	SACKS MADE	3
1	GIVEAWAYS	1
1	TAKEAWAYS	1

Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.

ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD

1 RAVENS — 0 COLTS

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