WEEK 13 · FINAL
THE READ
Bills beat Dolphins, 24-12
Bills did what they needed to, 24-12. Josh Allen did the damage for Bills — 22/32, 252 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT. De'Von Achane ran it for Dolphins — 16 carries, 82 yards, 1 TD — in a losing effort. Caleb Douglas is in form — 83 receiving yards a game over his last three, against a season average of 56. Total yards: Bills 404, Dolphins 293.
The Wire · league beat
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +1.5 | -2.1 | +3.6 | +11 |
| Dolphins | -16.5 | -2.6 | -13.9 | -8 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
Bills —
AFC #4 · division
· 8-6
Playoff picture →
IN THE BOOTH
Jeff Epstein
The showman
Buffalo's defense simply suffocated Miami's passing game while the Bills' receivers—Douglas and Moore both running hot—carved up whatever the Phins tried to mount on the other side; a 12-point margin in a 36-point total tells you everything about a game where one team showed up and the other did not.
Daniel Keller
The numbers guy
· replying
Miami's 1-13 record stops being theoretical when you watch them turn it over 3 times and generate 173 passing yards; at some point the gap between what they're trying to do and what they can actually execute becomes a chasm they can't cross.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Josh Allen
Bills
22/32, 252 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
De'Von Achane
Dolphins
16 carries, 82 yards, 1 TD
James Cook III
Bills
18 carries, 80 yards, 1 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Bills 404, Dolphins 293
Bills
Through the air
Bills 252, Dolphins 173
Bills
On the ground
Bills 152, Dolphins 120
Bills
Giveaways
Dolphins 3, Bills 2
Bills
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 54% · Rush 46% · 23.7 scored, 20.1 allowed
6.7 yds/att
60.5% completions
4.8 yds/carry
326.1 yds/game
1.1 giveaways/game
8.0% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 48 · Conservative
Balance 96
Ball security 68
Back usage 36%
QB runs 5.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.0% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 86
TE 86
RB 91
OL 80
DL 86
LB 80
DB 88
Best: Josh Allen QB 99
Fastest: James Cook III HB 93 SPD
4 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 55% · Rush 45% · 21.6 scored, 35.5 allowed
5.6 yds/att
48.8% completions
5.9 yds/carry
304.1 yds/game
2.1 giveaways/game
7.3% sack rate
last 5: 0-5
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 22 · Turnover-prone
Balance 95
Ball security 42
Back usage 34%
QB runs 5.8/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 2.1 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 78
WR 81
TE 73
RB 88
OL 82
DL 83
LB 83
DB 80
Best: De'Von Achane HB 94
Fastest: De'Von Achane HB 96 SPD
1 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Ant
Bills · his last 8 games
Runs it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run55% / 45%
Points for / against20.1 — 20.9
Margin-0.8
Giveaways a game1.5
Sacks taken7.8% of dropbacks
Lead backJames Cook III · 13.2/g
Top targetDJ Moore · 26%
QB carries5.1 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Bills receivers vs Dolphins secondary
86 v 80
BILLS
Dolphins receivers vs Bills secondary
81 v 88
BILLS
Bills line vs Dolphins front
80 v 83
DOLPHINS
Dolphins line vs Bills front
82 v 86
BILLS
Bills backs vs Dolphins run defence
91 v 83
BILLS
Dolphins backs vs Bills run defence
88 v 84
DOLPHINS
Bills passer vs Dolphins secondary
99 v 80
BILLS
Dolphins passer vs Bills secondary
78 v 88
BILLS
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
BILLS
DOLPHINS
BILLS
DOLPHINS
BILLS
DOLPHINS
BILLS
DOLPHINS
BILLS
DOLPHINS
BILLS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | 22/32 | 252 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 89.5 |
DOLPHINS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning QB | 16/36 | 173 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 35.9 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook III HB | 18 | 80 | 4.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| Ray Davis HB | 10 | 62 | 6.2 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| Josh Allen QB | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawson Knox TE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DJ Moore WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
DOLPHINS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane HB | 16 | 82 | 5.1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21 | 1 |
| Arch Manning QB | 9 | 39 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Ollie Gordon II HB | 1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore WR | 4 | 67 | 16.8 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 22 |
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 5 | 51 | 10.2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 4 | 34 | 8.5 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| Cooper Kupp WR | 3 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| James Cook III HB | 1 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Ray Davis HB | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| Dawson Knox TE | 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| Jackson Hawes TE | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
DOLPHINS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Douglas WR | 5 | 77 | 15.4 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 28 |
| Seydou Traore TE | 4 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| Chris Bell WR | 3 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| Michael Trigg TE | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| Malik Washington WR | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrel Bernard MIKE | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| C.J. Gardner-Johnson SS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Marlon Humphrey CB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Davison Igbinosun CB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Anthony Smith DT | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Rousseau LEDG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Stone FS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cole Bishop FS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Christian Benford CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dorian Williams WILL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Parker REDG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
DOLPHINS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez MIKE | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Taaffe SS | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Daequan Hardy CB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Taylor Rapp SS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Louis Moore FS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Chris Johnson CB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kenneth Grant DT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Sieler DT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| JuJu Brents CB | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Chop Robinson LEDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Moore REDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordyn Brooks MIKE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kam Franklin DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Uche REDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bass K | 1/2 | 3/3 | 39 |
DOLPHINS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Patterson K | 1/1 | 1/1 | 27 |
RECENT FORM
Bills
W
28–24 vs Broncos
WK 12
W
42–19 vs Jets
WK 11
L
17–31 vs Titans
WK 10
Dolphins
L
17–22 vs Panthers
WK 12
L
35–42 vs Chargers
WK 11
L
24–31 vs Jets
WK 9
TEAM STATS
| Bills | Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| 404 | TOTAL YARDS | 293 |
| 252 | PASSING YARDS | 173 |
| 152 | RUSHING YARDS | 120 |
| 1 | SACKS ALLOWED | 1 |
| 1 | SACKS MADE | 1 |
| 2 | GIVEAWAYS | 3 |
| 3 | TAKEAWAYS | 2 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
BILLS
—
1
DOLPHINS