WEEK 14 · FINAL
THE READ
Bills beat Eagles, 20-16
Bills handled Eagles 20-16. Josh Allen did the damage for Bills — 18/28, 206 yards, 2 TD. Jalen Hurts was steady for Eagles — 26/37, 210 yards, 1 TD — in a losing effort. Josh Allen is still searching for it — 17 rushing yards a game across his last three, against an average of 30. Total yards: Eagles 297, Bills 261.
The Wire · league beat
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +1.5 | -2.1 | +3.6 | +11 |
| Eagles | -6.8 | -0.8 | -6.0 | +0 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
Bills —
AFC #4 · division
· 8-6
Playoff picture →
IN THE BOOTH
Devon Walker
Beat reporter
Buffalo's defense made the difference here. Josh Allen didn't have to do much—206 yards, 2 touchdowns—because T.J. Parker and the Bills' pass rush (5 sacks) kept Jalen Hurts uncomfortable enough that Philadelphia couldn't convert a 297-yard performance into points.
Sierra Vaughn
Analyst
· replying
Buffalo's 4-point win over a 3-10 team squares with what the numbers say it should be: the Bills have a 62.4% win probability built into their season profile while Philadelphia sits at 37.4%, meaning this result didn't require anything unusual to happen, just the better team playing like the better team.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Josh Allen
Bills
18/28, 206 yards, 2 TD
Jalen Hurts
Eagles
26/37, 210 yards, 1 TD
T.J. Parker
Bills
2.5 sacks
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Eagles 297, Bills 261
Eagles
On the ground
Eagles 87, Bills 55
Eagles
Through the air
Eagles 210, Bills 206
Eagles
Pressure
Eagles 4 sacks, Bills 5
Bills
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 54% · Rush 46% · 23.7 scored, 20.1 allowed
6.7 yds/att
60.5% completions
4.8 yds/carry
326.1 yds/game
1.1 giveaways/game
8.0% sack rate
last 5: 4-1
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 48 · Conservative
Balance 96
Ball security 68
Back usage 36%
QB runs 5.9/game
Most exposed: pressure -- sacked on 8.0% of dropbacks
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 99
WR 86
TE 86
RB 91
OL 80
DL 86
LB 80
DB 88
Best: Josh Allen QB 99
Fastest: James Cook III HB 93 SPD
4 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 62% · Rush 38% · 23.5 scored, 29.5 allowed
6.4 yds/att
58.4% completions
4.0 yds/carry
326.4 yds/game
1.9 giveaways/game
6.9% sack rate
last 5: 1-4
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 37 · Turnover-prone
Balance 88
Ball security 48
Back usage 32%
QB runs 3.5/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 1.9 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 88
WR 90
TE 86
RB 89
OL 87
DL 88
LB 88
DB 89
Best: Saquon Barkley HB 95
Fastest: Saquon Barkley HB 95 SPD
7 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
Ant
Bills · his last 8 games
Runs it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run55% / 45%
Points for / against20.1 — 20.9
Margin-0.8
Giveaways a game1.5
Sacks taken7.8% of dropbacks
Lead backJames Cook III · 13.2/g
Top targetDJ Moore · 26%
QB carries5.1 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Bills receivers vs Eagles secondary
86 v 89
EAGLES
Eagles receivers vs Bills secondary
90 v 88
EVEN
Bills line vs Eagles front
80 v 88
EAGLES
Eagles line vs Bills front
87 v 86
EVEN
Bills backs vs Eagles run defence
91 v 88
BILLS
Eagles backs vs Bills run defence
89 v 84
EAGLES
Bills passer vs Eagles secondary
99 v 89
BILLS
Eagles passer vs Bills secondary
88 v 88
EVEN
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
BILLS
EAGLES
BILLS
EAGLES
BILLS
EAGLES
BILLS
EAGLES
BILLS
EAGLES
BILLS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | 18/28 | 206 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 110.1 |
EAGLES
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts QB | 26/37 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 93.2 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | 6 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| James Cook III HB | 16 | 25 | 1.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawson Knox TE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DJ Moore WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Kupp WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
EAGLES
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley HB | 15 | 51 | 3.4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 1 |
| Tank Bigsby HB | 5 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Jalen Hurts QB | 4 | 13 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Alec Pierce WR | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| DeVonta Smith WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Kupp WR | 3 | 55 | 18.3 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 33 |
| DJ Moore WR | 3 | 45 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 4 | 37 | 9.2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 4 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 17 |
| James Cook III HB | 1 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 29 |
| Dawson Knox TE | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Jackson Hawes TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
EAGLES
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce WR | 6 | 62 | 10.3 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| DeVonta Smith WR | 6 | 57 | 9.5 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 17 |
| Johnny Wilson TE | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| Tank Bigsby HB | 1 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| Eli Stowers TE | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
| Saquon Barkley HB | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| Rashod Bateman WR | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 4 |
| Jack Westover FB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrel Bernard MIKE | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Marlon Humphrey CB | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Anthony Smith DT | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Parker REDG | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davison Igbinosun CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cole Bishop FS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Christian Benford CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| C.J. Gardner-Johnson SS | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Geno Stone FS | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| K.J. Britt MIKE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kameryn Crawford LEDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Rousseau LEDG | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
EAGLES
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihaad Campbell MIKE | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Andrew Mukuba FS | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Nolan Smith Jr LEDG | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Trenton Simpson WILL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen Carter DT | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zack Baun WILL | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Quinyon Mitchell CB | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Cooper DeJean CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Davis DT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Riq Woolen CB | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Cooper FS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Cisco SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Greenard REDG | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BILLS
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bass K | 2/2 | 2/2 | 56 |
EAGLES
| PLAYER | FG | XP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Elliott K | 3/3 | 1/1 | 47 |
RECENT FORM
Bills
W
24–12 vs Dolphins
WK 13
W
28–24 vs Broncos
WK 12
W
42–19 vs Jets
WK 11
Eagles
W
26–20 vs Buccaneers
WK 13
L
31–34 vs Cowboys
WK 12
L
28–35 vs Seahawks
WK 11
TEAM STATS
| Bills | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 261 | TOTAL YARDS | 297 |
| 206 | PASSING YARDS | 210 |
| 55 | RUSHING YARDS | 87 |
| 4 | SACKS ALLOWED | 5 |
| 5 | SACKS MADE | 4 |
| 1 | GIVEAWAYS | 1 |
| 1 | TAKEAWAYS | 1 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
BILLS
—
0
EAGLES