Bills @ Patriots · Week 4

WEEK 4 · FINAL

THE READ

Patriots run away with it, 42-14

28 points separated these two, and Patriots had all of them. Drake Maye was steady for Patriots — 9/11, 242 yards, 4 TD. TreVeyon Henderson did the work on the ground for Patriots — 14 carries, 91 yards, 2 TD. A season best for TreVeyon Henderson. Total yards: Patriots 339, Bills 158.

Marcus Reyes The numbers guy

THE WIDER PICTURE

Team	SRS	SOS	MARGIN	TO +/-
Bills	+3.6	-3.7	+7.2	+2
Patriots	+27.8	+9.5	+18.2	+6

SRS is how many points a side beats an average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20. SOS is how hard that schedule has been. Full table.

Patriots — AFC #1 · division · 4-0 Bills — AFC #7 · 3-1 Playoff picture →

In the MVP race

#3 Drake Maye QB · Patriots · 3.8% of the field

The whole board →

IN THE BOOTH

Ethan Price The numbers guy

Drake Maye threw 4 touchdown passes on 11 attempts—the kind of efficiency that makes a 28-point margin feel inevitable rather than lucky.

Riley Parker The chaos merchant · replying

Bo Melton turned 2 catches into 89 yards and 2 touchdowns—when you're converting that efficiently against coverage, you're not a depth piece anymore, you're a problem for defenses to solve.

They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers — none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that did not happen.

Drake Maye

Patriots

9/11, 242 yards, 4 TD

TreVeyon Henderson

Patriots

14 carries, 91 yards, 2 TD

Bo Melton

Patriots

2 catches, 89 yards, 2 TD

THE STORY SO FAR

⭐ TreVeyon Henderson has not had a better afternoon this season.

⭐ Bo Melton has not had a better afternoon this season.

🧊 Josh Allen — 99 overall — was held to 92 passing yards, against an average of 230.

WHAT DECIDED IT

Total yards Patriots 339, Bills 158 Patriots

Through the air Patriots 242, Bills 92 Patriots

On the ground Patriots 97, Bills 66 Patriots

Giveaways Patriots 0, Bills 3 Patriots

THE ROOM Final. The recap is below.

📺 THE WEEK 4 SHOW this game is in the week's show ▶ Watch the show

THE MATCHUP SCOUT every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling

LEAGUE DATA counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it

Pass-heavy Pass 61% · Rush 39% · 36.5 scored, 29.2 allowed

9.2 yds/att 57.0% completions 7.5 yds/carry 352.2 yds/game 2.5 giveaways/game 7.4% sack rate last 4: 3-1

Primary weapon: Nyck Harbor WR — 37% of the receiving yards · DEPENDENCY HIGH

SAPPHIRE METRICS QB efficiency 61 · Aggressive Balance 89 Ball security 30 Back usage 27% QB runs 5.2/game

Most exposed: ball security -- 2.5 giveaways a game

PERSONNEL off the roster — unit averages, best starters only

QB 99 WR 84 TE 99 RB 88 OL 82 DL 80 LB 81 DB 82

Best: Josh Allen QB 99 Fastest: Nyck Harbor WR 99 SPD 13 at star dev or better

YOUR NOTEBOOK what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic

HOW THEY PLAY the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season

Him 💎

Patriots · his last 4 games

Throws it One back

Pass / run67% / 33% Points for / against38.2 — 20.0 Margin+18.2 Giveaways a game1.0 Sacks taken7.1% of dropbacks Lead backTreVeyon Henderson · 9.8/g Top targetA.J. Brown · 35% QB carries1.8 a game

Bills

Bills · his last 4 games

Balanced Gives it away Runs the quarterback

Pass / run61% / 39% Points for / against36.5 — 29.2 Margin+7.2 Giveaways a game2.5 Sacks taken7.4% of dropbacks Lead backJames Cook III · 9.2/g Top targetNyck Harbor · 37% QB carries5.2 a game

Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.

THE SERIES Bills against Him 💎 — the men, not the teams

Him 💎 leads it 1-0. Him 💎 won the last one.

1 meeting avg 14.0 — 42.0 biggest: 28 pts to Him 💎

S2 · week 4 Bills 14 — 42 Him 💎 HIM 💎

Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.

MATCHUP ADVANTAGES unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push

Bills receivers vs Patriots secondary 84 v 93 PATRIOTS

Patriots receivers vs Bills secondary 88 v 82 PATRIOTS

Bills line vs Patriots front 82 v 88 PATRIOTS

Patriots line vs Bills front 81 v 80 EVEN

Bills backs vs Patriots run defence 88 v 85 BILLS

Patriots backs vs Bills run defence 88 v 81 PATRIOTS

Bills passer vs Patriots secondary 99 v 93 BILLS

Patriots passer vs Bills secondary 99 v 82 PATRIOTS

TOP PERFORMERS

Drake Maye QB Patriots 242 pass yds

TreVeyon Henderson HB Patriots 91 rush yds

Bo Melton WR Patriots 89 rec yds

A.J. Brown WR Patriots 84 rec yds

James Cook III HB Bills 66 rush yds

Carlton Davis III CB Patriots 1 INTs

Isaiah Bolden CB Patriots 1 INTs

Kevin Byard III FS Patriots 1 INTs

🎬 The Game Recap
this game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›

BOX SCORE

BILLS

PLAYER	C/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	SCK	LNG	RTG
Josh Allen QB	7/17	92	1	3	1	37	38.9

PATRIOTS

PLAYER	C/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	SCK	LNG	RTG
Drake Maye QB	9/11	242	4	0	0	65	158.3

BILLS

PLAYER	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	BTK	YAC	LNG	FUM
James Cook III HB	3	66	22	1	0	2	55	0

PATRIOTS

PLAYER	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	BTK	YAC	LNG
TreVeyon Henderson HB	14	91	6.5	2	0	12	45
Drake Maye QB	1	6	6	0	0	2	6
A.J. Brown WR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0

BILLS

PLAYER	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	YAC	DRP	LNG
Germie Bernard WR	2	38	19	1	17	0	37
Coy Eakin WR	1	30	30	0	22	0	30
Cam Coleman WR	2	11	5.5	0	2	0	9
Nyck Harbor WR	1	9	9	0	1	0	9
James Cook III HB	1	4	4	0	6	1	4

PATRIOTS

PLAYER	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	YAC	LNG
Bo Melton WR	2	89	44.5	2	34	65
A.J. Brown WR	3	84	28	1	40	65
Jonnu Smith TE	3	48	16	1	28	35
TreVeyon Henderson HB	1	21	21	0	21	21

BILLS

PLAYER	TKL	PD
Jalon Kilgore SS	3	0
Davison Igbinosun SS	3	1
Terrel Bernard MIKE	2	0
Christian Benford CB	1	0
T.J. Parker SAM	1	0
Landon Jackson DT	1	0
Kelley Jones CB	0	1

PATRIOTS

PLAYER	TKL	SCK	INT	PD
Jaylon Jones CB	2	0	0	0
Kevin Byard III FS	2	0	1	0
Marcus Jones CB	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Bolden CB	1	0	1	0
Troy Andersen MIKE	1	0	0	0
Brenden Schooler SS	1	0	0	0
Danielle Hunter REDG	1	1	0	0
Robert Spillane MIKE	1	0	0	0
Christian Gonzalez CB	1	0	0	1
Carlton Davis III CB	0	0	1	0
DJ Johnson LEDG	0	0	0	1

BILLS

nothing recorded

PATRIOTS

PLAYER	FG	XP	LNG
Matt Gay K	1/1	3/4	23

RECENT FORM

Bills

W 45–7 vs Jets WK 3

W 45–35 vs Cowboys WK 2

W 42–33 vs Texans WK 1

Patriots

W 34–17 vs Jaguars WK 3

W 35–14 vs Steelers WK 2

W 42–35 vs Colts WK 1

TEAM STATS

Bills		Patriots
158	TOTAL YARDS	339
92	PASSING YARDS	242
66	RUSHING YARDS	97
1	SACKS ALLOWED	0
0	SACKS MADE	1
3	GIVEAWAYS	0
0	TAKEAWAYS	3

Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.

ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD

0 BILLS — 1 PATRIOTS

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