WEEK 15 · FINAL
THE READ
Falcons beat Commanders, 25-7
Commanders kept it respectable. Falcons still won by 18. Michael Penix Jr was steady for Falcons — 14/24, 237 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT. Bijan Robinson did the work on the ground for Falcons — 17 carries, 149 yards, 2 TD. A season best for Bijan Robinson. Total yards: Falcons 403, Commanders 206.
The Wire · league beat
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -1.4 | -3.1 | +1.6 | -7 |
| Commanders | -13.7 | +1.9 | -15.5 | -27 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
Falcons —
in the hunt
· 8-9
Playoff picture →
IN THE BOOTH
Daniel Keller
The numbers guy
Atlanta's ground game did the talking here—Robinson went 149 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries while Washington managed 43 rushing yards total, which is not a recipe for staying in a game. Jayden Daniels threw 5 interceptions and the Commanders coughed it up 6 times overall; that kind of self-destruction turns an 18-point margin into a mercy killing.
Sierra Vaughn
Analyst
· replying
Atlanta's path to the playoffs just got a lot clearer—they're 8-9 in a weak division with a turnover margin of -7, meaning they're winning games despite beating themselves, which cannot hold if they keep playing this way. Washington is 2-15 and has given the ball away 27 times more than they've forced all season; this was not an outlier, it was the shape of their year.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Michael Penix Jr
Falcons
14/24, 237 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Bijan Robinson
Falcons
17 carries, 149 yards, 2 TD
Daron Payne
Commanders
2 sacks
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Falcons 403, Commanders 206
Falcons
On the ground
Falcons 166, Commanders 43
Falcons
Through the air
Falcons 237, Commanders 163
Falcons
Giveaways
Commanders 6, Falcons 3
Falcons
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 65% · Rush 35% · 28.5 scored, 26.8 allowed
8.7 yds/att
57.5% completions
6.0 yds/carry
361.5 yds/game
1.9 giveaways/game
5.6% sack rate
last 5: 3-2
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 60 · Aggressive
Balance 85
Ball security 47
Back usage 31%
QB runs 1.8/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 1.9 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 78
WR 81
TE 83
RB 88
OL 83
DL 82
LB 82
DB 86
Best: Bijan Robinson HB 99
Fastest: Jahan Dotson WR 92 SPD
7 at star dev or better
Out:
Joey Bosa REDG 85 · 5wk · Kyle Pitts Sr TE 83 · 10wk
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 62% · Rush 38% · 17.0 scored, 32.5 allowed
8.6 yds/att
50.9% completions
5.3 yds/carry
310.6 yds/game
3.3 giveaways/game
10.4% sack rate
last 5: 2-3
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 46 · Aggressive
Balance 88
Ball security 8
Back usage 30%
QB runs 3.5/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 3.3 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 85
WR 79
TE 77
RB 80
OL 77
DL 81
LB 80
DB 80
Best: Sam Cosmi RG 88
Fastest: Jaylin Lane WR 94 SPD
1 at star dev or better
Out:
Antonio Williams WR 81 · 4wk · Grady Jarrett DT 78 · 5wk · Josh Conerly Jr RT 75 · 5wk · Jared Wilson C 73 · 3wk
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
mc
Commanders · his last 8 games
Throws it
Gives it away
Takes sacks
Pass / run62% / 38%
Points for / against15.9 — 23.2
Margin-7.4
Giveaways a game3.0
Sacks taken9.5% of dropbacks
Lead backJacory Croskey-Merritt · 10.5/g
Top targetChigoziem Okonkwo · 24%
QB carries4.0 a game
SL FeaRz
Falcons · his last 8 games
Throws it
Gives it away
One back
Pass / run65% / 35%
Points for / against27.0 — 25.2
Margin+1.8
Giveaways a game2.0
Sacks taken8.0% of dropbacks
Lead backBijan Robinson · 12.8/g
Top targetDrake London · 25%
QB carries0.8 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
SL FeaRz against mc — the men, not the teams
SL FeaRz leads it 1-0.
SL FeaRz won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 25.0 — 7.0
biggest: 18 pts to SL FeaRz
S1 · week 15
SL FeaRz 25 — 7 mc
SL FEARZ
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Falcons receivers vs Commanders secondary
81 v 80
EVEN
Commanders receivers vs Falcons secondary
79 v 86
FALCONS
Falcons line vs Commanders front
83 v 81
EVEN
Commanders line vs Falcons front
77 v 82
FALCONS
Falcons backs vs Commanders run defence
88 v 81
FALCONS
Commanders backs vs Falcons run defence
80 v 82
EVEN
Falcons passer vs Commanders secondary
78 v 80
EVEN
Commanders passer vs Falcons secondary
85 v 86
EVEN
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
FALCONS
COMMANDERS
FALCONS
COMMANDERS
FALCONS
COMMANDERS
FALCONS
COMMANDERS
FALCONS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr QB | 14/24 | 237 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 56 | 102.2 |
COMMANDERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels QB | 11/24 | 163 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 28.9 |
FALCONS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson HB | 17 | 149 | 8.8 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 40 | 1 |
| Brian Robinson Jr HB | 1 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jahan Dotson WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Drake London WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Penix Jr QB | 1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
COMMANDERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt HB | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| Jayden Daniels QB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| Jaylin Lane WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio Williams WR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
FALCONS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson HB | 5 | 92 | 18.4 | 0 | 64 | 0 | 32 |
| Drake London WR | 3 | 84 | 28 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 56 |
| Austin Hooper TE | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 20 |
| Jahan Dotson WR | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Charlie Woerner TE | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
COMMANDERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chigoziem Okonkwo TE | 3 | 65 | 21.7 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| Sincere Brown WR | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt HB | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| Antonio Williams WR | 1 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Dyami Brown WR | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jaylin Lane WR | 1 | -3 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
FALCONS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Watts SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hughes CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Bosa REDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Terrell Jr CB | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sydney Brown SS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jessie Bates III FS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Da'Shawn Hand DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Divine Deablo MIKE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harold Perkins Jr. MIKE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Clark Phillips III CB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
COMMANDERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Owens SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Frankie Luvu WILL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Cross SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Rush CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Amos CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daron Payne DT | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Hawkins III CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Dugger MIKE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jer'Zhan Newton DT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shemar Stewart REDG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal WILL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RECENT FORM
Falcons
W
34–31 vs Browns
WK 14
L
24–41 vs Lions
WK 13
W
36–10 vs Vikings
WK 12
Commanders
W
39–16 vs Texans
WK 14
L
14–26 vs Titans
WK 13
L
12–22 vs Cardinals
WK 12
TEAM STATS
| Falcons | Commanders | |
|---|---|---|
| 403 | TOTAL YARDS | 206 |
| 237 | PASSING YARDS | 163 |
| 166 | RUSHING YARDS | 43 |
| 4 | SACKS ALLOWED | 2 |
| 2 | SACKS MADE | 4 |
| 3 | GIVEAWAYS | 6 |
| 6 | TAKEAWAYS | 3 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
FALCONS
—
0
COMMANDERS