Jaguars @ Texans · Week 15

WEEK 15 · FINAL

THE READ

62 points between Jaguars and Texans

Scoreboard operators earned their money. Jaguars 41, Texans 21. C.J. Stroud was steady for Texans — 19/36, 345 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT — in a losing effort. Trevor Lawrence threw for Jaguars — 23/35, 268 yards, 3 TD. C.J. Stroud has now cleared 250 passing yards in 4 in a row. On the ground: Jaguars 152, Texans 72.

The Wire · league beat

THE WIDER PICTURE

Team	SRS	SOS	MARGIN	TO +/-
Jaguars	-8.5	-0.1	-8.3	-5
Texans	-12.0	+2.0	-14.0	-17

SRS is how many points a side beats an average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20. SOS is how hard that schedule has been. Full table.

IN THE BOOTH

Jordan Hayes The armchair coach

Houston's 5 turnovers decided this game—you don't stay competitive when you're handing the ball away that often, and Jacksonville made them pay for it despite being outgained by 3 yards.

Marcus Reyes The numbers guy · replying

Houston's season-long pattern held: 5 giveaways against a team it should beat, and 20 points of margin to show for it. This wasn't a shootout correcting itself—it was the Texans being exactly who they've been.

They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers — none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that did not happen.

C.J. Stroud

Texans

19/36, 345 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT

Trevor Lawrence

Jaguars

23/35, 268 yards, 3 TD

Parker Washington

Jaguars

8 catches, 99 yards, 2 TD

THE STORY SO FAR

🔥 C.J. Stroud has now cleared 250 passing yards in 4 straight games.

⭐ Trevor Lawrence has not had a better afternoon this season.

⭐ Parker Washington has not had a better afternoon this season.

WHAT DECIDED IT

On the ground Jaguars 152, Texans 72 Jaguars

Through the air Texans 345, Jaguars 268 Texans

Total yards Jaguars 420, Texans 417 Jaguars

Giveaways Texans 5, Jaguars 2 Jaguars

THE ROOM Final. The recap is below.

📺 THE WEEK 15 SHOW this game is in the week's show ▶ Watch the show

THE MATCHUP SCOUT every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling

LEAGUE DATA counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it

Balanced Pass 57% · Rush 43% · 22.5 scored, 30.8 allowed

6.6 yds/att 55.1% completions 5.6 yds/carry 303.4 yds/game 1.9 giveaways/game 7.6% sack rate last 5: 1-4

Primary weapon: Brian Thomas Jr WR — 32% of the receiving yards · DEPENDENCY HIGH

SAPPHIRE METRICS QB efficiency 33 · Turnover-prone Balance 93 Ball security 46 Back usage 32% QB runs 5.4/game

Most exposed: ball security -- 1.9 giveaways a game

PERSONNEL off the roster — unit averages, best starters only

QB 87 WR 83 TE 79 RB 76 OL 77 DL 81 LB 71 DB 81

Best: Josh Hines-Allen REDG 90 Fastest: Brian Thomas Jr WR 97 SPD 4 at star dev or better

Out: Walker Little LT 78 · 5wk

YOUR NOTEBOOK what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic

HOW THEY PLAY the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season

Trollstradamus - Texans

Texans · his last 8 games

Throws it Gives it away One back One target

Pass / run70% / 30% Points for / against19.8 — 39.8 Margin-20.0 Giveaways a game4.2 Sacks taken6.0% of dropbacks Lead backEmmett Johnson · 13.1/g Top targetRome Odunze · 42% QB carries0.6 a game

Dream

Jaguars · his last 8 games

Balanced Runs the quarterback Takes sacks

Pass / run57% / 43% Points for / against21.4 — 28.5 Margin-7.1 Giveaways a game1.4 Sacks taken9.2% of dropbacks Lead backBhayshul Tuten · 12.4/g Top targetBrian Thomas Jr · 33% QB carries7.2 a game

Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.

THE SERIES Dream against Trollstradamus - Texans — the men, not the teams

Dream leads it 2-0. Dream has won 2 straight.

2 meetings avg 32.5 — 22.0 biggest: 20 pts to Dream

S1 · week 15 Dream 41 — 21 Trollstradamus - Texans DREAM

S1 · week 6 Dream 24 — 23 Trollstradamus - Texans DREAM

Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.

MATCHUP ADVANTAGES unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push

Jaguars receivers vs Texans secondary 83 v 90 TEXANS

Texans receivers vs Jaguars secondary 86 v 81 TEXANS

Jaguars line vs Texans front 77 v 87 TEXANS

Texans line vs Jaguars front 79 v 81 EVEN

Jaguars backs vs Texans run defence 76 v 83 TEXANS

Texans backs vs Jaguars run defence 70 v 78 JAGUARS

Jaguars passer vs Texans secondary 87 v 90 TEXANS

Texans passer vs Jaguars secondary 83 v 81 EVEN

TOP PERFORMERS

C.J. Stroud QB Texans 345 pass yds

Trevor Lawrence QB Jaguars 268 pass yds

Rome Odunze WR Texans 156 rec yds

Nico Collins WR Texans 114 rec yds

Parker Washington WR Jaguars 99 rec yds

Brenton Strange TE Jaguars 73 rec yds

Bhayshul Tuten HB Jaguars 69 rush yds

Emmett Johnson HB Texans 66 rush yds

Brian Thomas Jr WR Jaguars 51 rec yds

Travis Hunter CB Jaguars 2 INTs

🎬 The Game Recap
this game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›

BOX SCORE

JAGUARS

PLAYER	C/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	SCK	LNG	RTG
Trevor Lawrence QB	23/35	268	3	0	2	58	117.3

TEXANS

PLAYER	C/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	SCK	LNG	RTG
C.J. Stroud QB	19/36	345	3	3	3	90	79

JAGUARS

PLAYER	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	BTK	YAC	LNG	FUM
Bhayshul Tuten HB	16	69	4.3	1	1	18	26	0
Trevor Lawrence QB	7	44	6.3	1	3	30	26	1
Chris Rodriguez Jr HB	4	39	9.8	0	1	22	26	0
Brenton Strange TE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Parker Washington WR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

TEXANS

PLAYER	CAR	YDS	AVG	BTK	LNG	FUM
Emmett Johnson HB	20	66	3.3	0	7	1
Phil Mafah HB	3	6	2	0	5	1
Nico Collins WR	0	0	0	1	0	0
Rome Odunze WR	0	0	0	1	0	0

JAGUARS

PLAYER	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	YAC	DRP	LNG
Parker Washington WR	8	99	12.4	2	70	0	58
Brenton Strange TE	7	73	10.4	0	27	0	15
Brian Thomas Jr WR	3	51	17	0	12	1	22
Nate Boerkircher TE	1	11	11	0	2	0	11
Bhayshul Tuten HB	1	4	4	0	6	0	4

TEXANS

PLAYER	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	YAC	DRP	LNG
Rome Odunze WR	6	156	26	1	89	1	90
Nico Collins WR	5	114	22.8	1	64	0	70
Marlin Klein TE	4	36	9	1	15	0	14
Tank Dell WR	2	31	15.5	0	20	0	22
Emmett Johnson HB	2	8	4	0	9	1	4

JAGUARS

PLAYER	TKL	SCK	INT	PD	FF	CMP ALW
Caleb Ransaw FS	6	0	0	0	0	3
Arik Armstead DT	5	0.5	0	0	0	0
Travis Hunter CB	3	0	2	1	0	1
Josh Hines-Allen REDG	2	1	0	1	1	0
Jalen Huskey FS	2	0	0	0	0	1
Travon Walker LEDG	2	1	0	0	0	0
Yasir Abdullah SAM	1	0	0	0	0	0
Montaric Brown CB	1	0	0	0	0	1
Antonio Johnson SS	1	0	0	0	1	1
Jack Kiser MIKE	1	0	0	0	0	0
Ventrell Miller WILL	1	0	0	0	0	0
Albert Regis DT	1	0	0	0	0	0
Jarrian Jones CB	0	0.5	0	0	0	0

TEXANS

PLAYER	TKL	SCK	PD	FF	CMP ALW
Calen Bullock FS	8	0	0	0	2
Kamari Lassiter CB	7	0	0	0	7
Kamari Ramsey FS	6	0	0	0	5
Jamal Hill WILL	5	1	0	1	1
Will Anderson Jr LEDG	3	0	0	0	0
Jalen Pitre CB	2	0	0	0	2
Derek Stingley Jr CB	2	0	1	0	1
Henry To'oTo'o WILL	2	0.5	0	0	0
Wade Woodaz WILL	2	0	0	0	2
Danielle Hunter REDG	1	0	0	1	0
Marte Mapu SAM	1	0	0	0	1
Kayden McDonald DT	1	0	0	0	0
Sheldon Rankins DT	1	0.5	0	0	0

JAGUARS

PLAYER	FG	XP	LNG
Cam Little K	2/2	5/5	29

TEXANS

nothing recorded

RECENT FORM

Jaguars

L 16–41 vs Steelers WK 14

W 28–26 vs Bears WK 13

L 10–29 vs Titans WK 12

Texans

L 16–39 vs Commanders WK 14

L 17–42 vs Steelers WK 13

L 28–51 vs Ravens WK 12

TEAM STATS

Jaguars		Texans
420	TOTAL YARDS	417
268	PASSING YARDS	345
152	RUSHING YARDS	72
2	SACKS ALLOWED	3
3	SACKS MADE	2
2	GIVEAWAYS	5
4	TAKEAWAYS	2

Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.

ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD

2 JAGUARS — 0 TEXANS

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