THE BOOK
game lines · totals · player props — pick your sides, build a slip, lock the stake
WEEK 12 · LIVE BOARD
24 slips locked · $54,770,765 at stake
Bears
8-3 · 33.3 PPG
Lions
11-0 · 39.4 PPG
0 on over
1 on under
Spread LIONS COVERS
Bears 8-3
33.3 PPG · 25.4 allowed
33.3 PPG · 25.4 allowed
Lions 11-0
39.4 PPG · 23.1 allowed
39.4 PPG · 23.1 allowed
Sim gives Bears a 22.0% win chance ·
projected margin -8.4 vs the 0.0 spread
Total TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Bears 8-3
33.3 PPG · 25.4 allowed
33.3 PPG · 25.4 allowed
Lions 11-0
39.4 PPG · 23.1 allowed
39.4 PPG · 23.1 allowed
Model projects Bears 28.2 — Lions 32.4
· 60.6 combined vs the 60.5 number
PLAYER PROPS
369.0
LAST 5
3/5 over this line
399.0
355.0
411.0
306.0
428.0
2 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
360.2
SEASON AVG
381.7 ➡️
LAST 3
36%
OVER RATE
512.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#17
in pass defense (adjusted)
⚖️ Madden ranks them 26th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 17th. Tougher than the raw table says.
71.5
LAST 5
3/5 over this line
144.0
79.0
40.0
79.0
55.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
84.4
SEASON AVG
58.0 🧊
LAST 3
64%
OVER RATE
144.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#28
in pass defense (adjusted)
— smash spot
Browns
7-3 · 29.0 PPG
Vikings
4-6 · 20.6 PPG
Spread BROWNS COVERS
Browns 7-3
29.0 PPG · 22.9 allowed
29.0 PPG · 22.9 allowed
Vikings 4-6
20.6 PPG · 28.5 allowed
20.6 PPG · 28.5 allowed
Sim gives Browns a 79.3% win chance ·
projected margin 14.0 vs the 7.0 spread
Total OVER
Browns 7-3
29.0 PPG · 22.9 allowed
29.0 PPG · 22.9 allowed
Vikings 4-6
20.6 PPG · 28.5 allowed
20.6 PPG · 28.5 allowed
Model projects Browns 28.8 — Vikings 21.8
· 50.6 combined vs the 46.0 number
PLAYER PROPS
28.0
LAST 3
2/3 over this line
3.0
49.0
32.0
2 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
28.0
SEASON AVG
28.0 ➡️
LAST 3
67%
OVER RATE
49.0
SEASON HIGH
last 3 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#12
in run defense (adjusted)
⚖️ Madden ranks them 1th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 12th. Softer than the raw table says.
14.5
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
0.0
7.0
22.0
12.0
26.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
10.7
SEASON AVG
20.0 🔥
LAST 3
30%
OVER RATE
26.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#13
in run defense (adjusted)
Buccaneers
7-3 · 27.8 PPG
Panthers
11-0 · 37.6 PPG
SPREAD
Spread PANTHERS COVERS
Panthers 11-0
37.6 PPG · 21.7 allowed
37.6 PPG · 21.7 allowed
Buccaneers 7-3
27.8 PPG · 22.6 allowed
27.8 PPG · 22.6 allowed
Sim gives Panthers a 81.7% win chance ·
projected margin 10.7 vs the 8.0 spread
Total UNDER
Buccaneers 7-3
27.8 PPG · 22.6 allowed
27.8 PPG · 22.6 allowed
Panthers 11-0
37.6 PPG · 21.7 allowed
37.6 PPG · 21.7 allowed
Model projects Buccaneers 24.8 — Panthers 30.1
· 54.9 combined vs the 58.0 number
PLAYER PROPS
37.5
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
25.1
34.3
28.7
47.3
52.0
1 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
32.8
SEASON AVG
42.7 🔥
LAST 3
18%
OVER RATE
52.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#5
in scoring defense (adjusted)
— tough draw
17.5
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
13.3
24.1
10.2
29.1
8.3
THE SHEET UNDER
16.6
SEASON AVG
15.9 ➡️
LAST 3
40%
OVER RATE
29.1
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#4
in scoring defense (adjusted)
— tough draw
Cardinals
8-2 · 33.8 PPG
Commanders
5-5 · 24.0 PPG
SPREAD
1 on over
0 on under
Spread CARDINALS COVERS
Cardinals 8-2
33.8 PPG · 25.8 allowed
33.8 PPG · 25.8 allowed
Commanders 5-5
24.0 PPG · 21.8 allowed
24.0 PPG · 21.8 allowed
Sim gives Cardinals a 69.7% win chance ·
projected margin 5.8 vs the 3.5 spread
Total TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Cardinals 8-2
33.8 PPG · 25.8 allowed
33.8 PPG · 25.8 allowed
Commanders 5-5
24.0 PPG · 21.8 allowed
24.0 PPG · 21.8 allowed
Model projects Cardinals 27.8 — Commanders 24.9
· 52.7 combined vs the 54.5 number
PLAYER PROPS
83.5
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
45.0
35.0
104.0
109.0
50.0
1 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET OVER
96.6
SEASON AVG
87.7 ➡️
LAST 3
50%
OVER RATE
232.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#24
in run defense (adjusted)
— smash spot
⚖️ Madden ranks them 6th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 24th. Softer than the raw table says.
59.5
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
46.0
64.0
40.0
108.0
38.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
55.4
SEASON AVG
62.0 ➡️
LAST 3
40%
OVER RATE
108.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#25
in run defense (adjusted)
— smash spot
⚖️ Madden ranks them 4th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 25th. Softer than the raw table says.
Colts
6-4 · 24.9 PPG
Bills
7-4 · 29.5 PPG
3 on over
0 on under
1 on over
0 on under
Spread TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Bills 7-4
29.5 PPG · 24.7 allowed
29.5 PPG · 24.7 allowed
Colts 6-4
24.9 PPG · 23.6 allowed
24.9 PPG · 23.6 allowed
Sim gives Bills a 56.3% win chance ·
projected margin 3.5 vs the 3.5 spread
Total TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Colts 6-4
24.9 PPG · 23.6 allowed
24.9 PPG · 23.6 allowed
Bills 7-4
29.5 PPG · 24.7 allowed
29.5 PPG · 24.7 allowed
Model projects Colts 24.8 — Bills 26.6
· 51.4 combined vs the 52.0 number
PLAYER PROPS
58.0
LAST 5
3/5 over this line
90.0
87.0
12.0
65.0
27.0
3 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
73.0
SEASON AVG
34.7 🧊
LAST 3
80%
OVER RATE
114.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#15
in pass defense (adjusted)
30.0
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
0.0
27.0
68.0
-2.0
36.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
26.5
SEASON AVG
34.0 🔥
LAST 3
33%
OVER RATE
68.0
SEASON HIGH
last 6 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#14
in run defense (adjusted)
⚖️ Madden ranks them 27th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 14th. Tougher than the raw table says.
Eagles
8-2 · 30.6 PPG
Cowboys
4-6 · 26.2 PPG
1 on over
0 on under
1 on over
0 on under
Spread EAGLES COVERS
Eagles 8-2
30.6 PPG · 16.8 allowed
30.6 PPG · 16.8 allowed
Cowboys 4-6
26.2 PPG · 29.2 allowed
26.2 PPG · 29.2 allowed
Sim gives Eagles a 85.4% win chance ·
projected margin 16.8 vs the 7.0 spread
Total TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Eagles 8-2
30.6 PPG · 16.8 allowed
30.6 PPG · 16.8 allowed
Cowboys 4-6
26.2 PPG · 29.2 allowed
26.2 PPG · 29.2 allowed
Model projects Eagles 29.9 — Cowboys 21.5
· 51.4 combined vs the 50.0 number
PLAYER PROPS
1.0
LAST 5
0/5 over this line
1.0
1.0
0.0
1.0
1.0
THE SHEET UNDER
0.9
SEASON AVG
0.7 🧊
LAST 3
10%
OVER RATE
2.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#3
in pass defense (adjusted)
— tough draw
228.5
LAST 5
3/5 over this line
332.0
243.0
98.0
210.0
346.0
2 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
234.4
SEASON AVG
218.0 ➡️
LAST 3
60%
OVER RATE
346.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#29
in pass defense (adjusted)
— smash spot
⚖️ Madden ranks them 16th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 29th. Softer than the raw table says.
Jaguars
6-4 · 36.2 PPG
Texans
4-6 · 26.5 PPG
SPREAD
Spread JAGUARS COVERS
Jaguars 6-4
36.2 PPG · 26.2 allowed
36.2 PPG · 26.2 allowed
Texans 4-6
26.5 PPG · 28.1 allowed
26.5 PPG · 28.1 allowed
Sim gives Jaguars a 70.5% win chance ·
projected margin 11.6 vs the 3.5 spread
Total TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jaguars 6-4
36.2 PPG · 26.2 allowed
36.2 PPG · 26.2 allowed
Texans 4-6
26.5 PPG · 28.1 allowed
26.5 PPG · 28.1 allowed
Model projects Jaguars 32.2 — Texans 26.4
· 58.6 combined vs the 56.5 number
PLAYER PROPS
11.0
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
-1.0
0.0
18.0
35.0
0.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
8.2
SEASON AVG
17.7 🔥
LAST 3
30%
OVER RATE
35.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#3
in run defense (adjusted)
— tough draw
⚖️ Madden ranks them 14th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 3th. Tougher than the raw table says.
63.0
LAST 5
4/5 over this line
81.0
73.0
69.0
93.0
34.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
56.9
SEASON AVG
65.3 ➡️
LAST 3
56%
OVER RATE
93.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#16
in pass defense (adjusted)
⚖️ Madden ranks them 6th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 16th. Softer than the raw table says.
Packers
8-2 · 32.6 PPG
Saints
2-9 · 19.6 PPG
SPREAD
1 on over
0 on under
Spread PACKERS COVERS
Packers 8-2
32.6 PPG · 17.7 allowed
32.6 PPG · 17.7 allowed
Saints 2-9
19.6 PPG · 30.6 allowed
19.6 PPG · 30.6 allowed
Sim gives Packers a 93.8% win chance ·
projected margin 25.9 vs the 16.0 spread
Total UNDER
Packers 8-2
32.6 PPG · 17.7 allowed
32.6 PPG · 17.7 allowed
Saints 2-9
19.6 PPG · 30.6 allowed
19.6 PPG · 30.6 allowed
Model projects Packers 31.6 — Saints 18.6
· 50.2 combined vs the 53.5 number
PLAYER PROPS
236.0
LAST 5
2/5 over this line
165.0
230.0
175.0
243.0
328.0
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
223.8
SEASON AVG
248.7 ➡️
LAST 3
36%
OVER RATE
328.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#1
in pass defense (adjusted)
— tough draw
90.0
LAST 5
3/5 over this line
96.0
79.0
42.0
122.0
120.0
1 on more
0 on less
THE SHEET COIN FLIP
88.5
SEASON AVG
94.7 ➡️
LAST 3
60%
OVER RATE
140.0
SEASON HIGH
last 8 games · green = cleared the line (dashed)
🛡️ Opponent ranks
#25
in pass defense (adjusted)
— smash spot
⚖️ Madden ranks them 14th, but adjusted for the offences they've actually faced they're 25th. Softer than the raw table says.
Seahawks
4-6 · 29.5 PPG
49ers
1-10 · 18.5 PPG
SPREAD
Spread TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Seahawks 4-6
29.5 PPG · 29.7 allowed
29.5 PPG · 29.7 allowed
49ers 1-10
18.5 PPG · 32.7 allowed
18.5 PPG · 32.7 allowed
Sim gives Seahawks a 82.6% win chance ·
projected margin 14.0 vs the 13.5 spread
Total OVER
Seahawks 4-6
29.5 PPG · 29.7 allowed
29.5 PPG · 29.7 allowed
49ers 1-10
18.5 PPG · 32.7 allowed
18.5 PPG · 32.7 allowed
Model projects Seahawks 31.1 — 49ers 24.1
· 55.2 combined vs the 51.5 number
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