WEEK 11 · FINAL
THE READ
Luca Santana
Analyst
Panthers run away with it, 52-27
Carolina dismantled Atlanta 52-27, a 25-point margin that understates how thoroughly the Panthers controlled this game. Bryce Young threw for 503 yards and 6 touchdowns on just 28 attempts—he completed 13 passes and let his receivers do the rest, with Cayden Lee catching 3 of those scores for 176 yards. Marcel Reed kept Atlanta's offense moving with 416 yards and 3 touchdowns, and Drake London had the best afternoon of his season with 194 yards and 3 scores, yet the Falcons gave the ball away 3 times to Carolina's 1, and that turnover margin decided everything. The Panthers' point differential adjusted for schedule strength sits at 13.1, meaning they're winning by nearly 16 points on average—the kind of number that predicts an 79 percent win rate going forward, not a team that barely scraped to 11-0.
Luca Santana
Analyst
THE WIDER PICTURE
| Team | SRS | SOS | MARGIN | TO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -3.9 | +0.9 | -4.8 | -5 |
| Panthers | +13.1 | -2.8 | +15.9 | +8 |
SRS is how many points a side beats an
average team by once you account for who they played — beat a good
team by 3 and it counts for more than beating a bad one by 20.
SOS is how hard that schedule has been.
Full table.
Panthers —
NFC #2 · division
· 11-0
Playoff picture →
In the MVP race
#1
Bryce Young
QB · Panthers · 11.3% of the field
#9
Chris Brazzell II
WR · Panthers · 0.7% of the field
#10
Cayden Lee
WR · Panthers · 0.6% of the field
The whole board →
IN THE BOOTH
Jordan Hayes
The armchair coach
Atlanta's ground game evaporated—39 rushing yards when Bijan Robinson averages 100—and once Carolina figured out it could beat them through the air, there was no way back. The Falcons had to establish something on the ground and never did.
Sephen A. Smith
The showman
· replying
Marcel Reed put up 416 yards and 3 touchdowns against an 11-0 team—the kind of individual brilliance that ordinarily carries weight—and it meant absolutely nothing in a 25-point defeat, which tells you everything about where Atlanta is right now.
They only ever read the box score and this league's own numbers —
none of them has a source, and none of them can report anything that
did not happen.
Bryce Young
Panthers
13/28, 503 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT
Marcel Reed
Falcons
19/37, 416 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT
Drake London
Falcons
7 catches, 194 yards, 3 TD
THE STORY SO FAR
WHAT DECIDED IT
Total yards
Panthers 544, Falcons 455
Panthers
Through the air
Panthers 503, Falcons 416
Panthers
On the ground
Panthers 41, Falcons 39
Panthers
Giveaways
Panthers 1, Falcons 3
Panthers
THE ROOM
Final. The recap is below.
THE MATCHUP SCOUT
every number below is counted from the export or read off the roster — nothing is inferred about playcalling
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Balanced
Pass 57% · Rush 43% · 29.7 scored, 34.5 allowed
8.5 yds/att
55.9% completions
5.7 yds/carry
359.3 yds/game
2.3 giveaways/game
4.5% sack rate
last 5: 1-4
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 59 · Aggressive
Balance 93
Ball security 36
Back usage 37%
QB runs 3.1/game
Most exposed: ball security -- 2.3 giveaways a game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 77
WR 81
TE 83
RB 88
OL 85
DL 83
LB 76
DB 84
Best: Bijan Robinson HB 98
Fastest: Ryan Wlliams WR 95 SPD
5 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
LEAGUE DATA
counted by Madden, and arithmetic on top of it
Pass-heavy
Pass 68% · Rush 32% · 37.6 scored, 21.7 allowed
12.5 yds/att
63.5% completions
5.1 yds/carry
401.0 yds/game
1.6 giveaways/game
7.5% sack rate
last 5: 5-0
SAPPHIRE METRICS
QB efficiency 73 · Efficient
Balance 82
Ball security 54
Back usage 19%
QB runs 5.1/game
PERSONNEL
off the roster — unit averages, best starters only
QB 85
WR 80
TE 72
RB 78
OL 80
DL 84
LB 78
DB 81
Best: Derrick Brown DT 96
Fastest: Cayden Lee WR 94 SPD
6 at star dev or better
YOUR NOTEBOOK
what you wrote about them — private, and never a Sapphire statistic
Sign in as a member of this league to keep private scouting notes on your opponents.
HOW THEY PLAY
the man, not the franchise — only weeks the record attributes to him, this season
TwinDadCardCollector
Panthers · his last 8 games
Throws it
Runs the quarterback
Pass / run66% / 34%
Points for / against37.5 — 23.5
Margin+14.0
Giveaways a game1.5
Sacks taken5.1% of dropbacks
Lead backHollwood Smothers · 8.0/g
Top targetCayden Lee · 29%
QB carries5.2 a game
TDS-_-IamQ
Falcons · his last 8 games
Balanced
Gives it away
One back
Pass / run59% / 41%
Points for / against31.5 — 32.8
Margin-1.2
Giveaways a game2.4
Sacks taken4.9% of dropbacks
Lead backBijan Robinson · 16.2/g
Top targetDrake London · 31%
QB carries2.1 a game
Counted from the weeks each man actually held his team — so a franchise that changed hands is not credited to whoever has it now. Nothing above is a playcall: the export does not carry those, and neither does this.
THE SERIES
TDS-_-IamQ against TwinDadCardCollector — the men, not the teams
TwinDadCardCollector leads it 1-0.
TwinDadCardCollector won the last one.
1 meeting
avg 27.0 — 52.0
biggest: 25 pts to TwinDadCardCollector
S2 · week 11
TDS-_-IamQ 27 — 52 TwinDadCardCollector
TWINDADCARDCOLLECTOR
Only meetings Sapphire can attribute to both men are counted — a Madden export never says who owned a team last season, so the series starts where the record does.
MATCHUP ADVANTAGES
unit averages against each other — inside three points is a push
Falcons receivers vs Panthers secondary
81 v 81
EVEN
Panthers receivers vs Falcons secondary
80 v 84
FALCONS
Falcons line vs Panthers front
85 v 84
EVEN
Panthers line vs Falcons front
80 v 83
FALCONS
Falcons backs vs Panthers run defence
88 v 82
FALCONS
Panthers backs vs Falcons run defence
78 v 80
EVEN
Falcons passer vs Panthers secondary
77 v 81
PANTHERS
Panthers passer vs Falcons secondary
85 v 84
EVEN
TOP PERFORMERS
🎬
The Game Recapthis game as an episode -- the score, the stars, the numbers that decided it -- and a video you can post ›
BOX SCORE
FALCONS
PANTHERS
FALCONS
PANTHERS
FALCONS
PANTHERS
FALCONS
PANTHERS
FALCONS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Reed QB | 19/37 | 416 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 86 | 84.9 |
PANTHERS
| PLAYER | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | SCK | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young QB | 13/28 | 503 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 88 | 117.5 |
FALCONS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson HB | 11 | 46 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| Marcel Reed QB | 2 | -7 | -3.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
PANTHERS
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | BTK | YAC | LNG | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young QB | 5 | 39 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| Hollwood Smothers HB | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
FALCONS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake London WR | 7 | 194 | 27.7 | 3 | 107 | 0 | 86 |
| Bijan Robinson HB | 5 | 100 | 20 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 36 |
| Tommy Tremble TE | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 27 |
| Kyle Pitts Sr TE | 2 | 35 | 17.5 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| Nick Marsh WR | 1 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| Ryan Wlliams WR | 1 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
PANTHERS
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | YAC | DRP | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Lee WR | 4 | 176 | 44 | 3 | 77 | 0 | 88 |
| Chris Brazzell II WR | 4 | 143 | 35.8 | 2 | 54 | 0 | 65 |
| Cooper Barkate WR | 1 | 88 | 88 | 1 | 52 | 0 | 88 |
| Hollwood Smothers HB | 1 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 47 |
| Xavier Legette WR | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders TE | 1 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
FALCONS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avieon Terrell CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DJ Turner II CB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trenton Simpson WILL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Madubuike DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Pearce Jr REDG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Terrell Jr CB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Watts SS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harold Perkins Jr. MIKE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
PANTHERS
| PLAYER | TKL | SCK | INT | PD | FF | CMP ALW | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaycee Horn CB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chau Smith-Wade CB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Lee III CB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| **** Chambliss WILL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ifeatu Melifonwu SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Rapp SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Simmons FS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Teitum Tuioti LEDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaelan Phillips REDG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevin Wallace WILL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lathan Ransom SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre'von Moehrig FS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nic Scourton LEDG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kuwatch MIKE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RECENT FORM
Falcons
L
37–44 vs Commanders
WK 10
W
38–28 vs Jaguars
WK 9
L
16–19 vs Vikings
WK 8
Panthers
W
49–42 vs Buccaneers
WK 10
W
34–7 vs Saints
WK 9
W
42–13 vs Giants
WK 8
TEAM STATS
| Falcons | Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| 455 | TOTAL YARDS | 544 |
| 416 | PASSING YARDS | 503 |
| 39 | RUSHING YARDS | 41 |
| 4 | SACKS ALLOWED | 2 |
| 2 | SACKS MADE | 4 |
| 3 | GIVEAWAYS | 1 |
| 1 | TAKEAWAYS | 3 |
Bold is the side that won that line. Giveaways come off a team's own offensive rows and takeaways off its own defensive rows — two separate payloads, so they need not tie out against each other.
ALL-TIME HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
FALCONS
—
1
PANTHERS